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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Hearts
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 4. · Aberdeen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hibernian 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Celtic 3 2 0 1 +11 6
3 Aberdeen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Hearts 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Motherwell 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 Rangers 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Dundee United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 ST Johnstone 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Dundee 3 0 2 1 -6 2
10 Ross County 2 0 1 1 -3 1
11 St Mirren 3 0 1 2 -7 1
12 Livingston 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Aberdeen
16′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
40′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ C. McLennan
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Campbell
↦ J. Hayes
Andy Halliday 🟨
50′
1–0 L. Boyce
56′
71′
F. Ojo 1–1
D. Campbell
J. Walker 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
75′
Peter Haring 🟨
76′
A. McEneff 🔁
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
78′
80′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ J. Ginnelly
93′
Jamie Walker 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-3
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
17 A. Cochrane D
16 A. Halliday M
11 G. Mackay-Steven F
5 P. Haring M
30 J. Ginnelly F
6 B. Baningime M
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (6)
7 J. Walker
8 A. McEneff
22 E. Henderson
27 C. Smith
35 A. Denholm
13 R. Stewart

Coach: R. Neilson

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
17 J. Hayes D
16 F. Ojo M
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
20 T. Jenks M
9 C. Ramírez F
18 C. McLennan M
Bench (7)
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
24 D. Campbell
21 J. Gurr
35 M. Hancock
25 G. Woods
10 N. McGinn
15 D. McGeouch

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U ✓
3,23
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.