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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Motherwell
U T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Dundee
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
3,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
4 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 7. · Dundee 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hibernian 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Aberdeen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Hearts 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Celtic 3 2 0 1 +11 6
5 Rangers 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Dundee United 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Motherwell 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 ST Johnstone 3 0 2 1 -1 2
9 Dundee 3 0 2 1 -6 2
10 Ross County 3 0 1 2 -5 1
11 St Mirren 3 0 1 2 -7 1
12 Livingston 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
U
3,26
B
2,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.