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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
St Mirren
T U U U U
1–0
Full-time
Ross County
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 27%
30%
24%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
45%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
38%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Ross County 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 30 26 4 0 +64 82
2 Celtic 30 19 7 4 +41 64
3 Hibernian 29 15 7 7 +15 52
4 Aberdeen 30 13 9 8 +3 48
5 Livingston 29 11 7 11 +1 40
6 St Mirren 30 9 9 12 -6 36
7 Dundee United 30 8 10 12 -15 34
8 ST Johnstone 30 8 9 13 -8 33
9 Motherwell 30 7 8 15 -20 29
10 Ross County 29 7 5 17 -31 26
11 Kilmarnock 30 7 3 20 -16 24
12 Hamilton 29 6 6 17 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Ross County
28′
🟨 Carl Tremarco
Half-time 0–0
R. Tait 🔁
↦ J. Shaughnessy
46′
46′
🔁 C. Donaldson
↦ T. Andreu
46′
🔁 A. Iacovitti
↦ C. Tremarco
46′
🔁 O. Shaw
↦ M. Gardyne
J. Obika 🔁
↦ L. Erwin
56′
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ E. Erhahon
56′
C. Quaner 🔁
↦ D. Connolly
56′
63′
🔁 J. Tillson
↦ B. Spittal
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ Í. Durmuş
66′
67′
🔁 H. Paton
↦ C. Lakin
Jak Alnwick 🟨
74′
1–0 J. McGrath
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
11 Í. Durmuş M
21 D. Connolly M
17 J. McGrath F
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
10 K. McAllister F
25 E. Erhahon M
23 L. Erwin F
Bench (9)
2 R. Tait
9 J. Obika
14 C. MacPherson
45 C. Quaner
8 R. Flynn
33 L. Jamieson
15 D. Finlayson
30 J. Henderson
26 D. Lyness

Coach: J. Goodwin

Ross County

4-4-1-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
3 C. Tremarco D
23 J. Naismith D
4 L. Hjelde D
7 M. Gardyne M
28 T. Andreu F
20 B. Spittal M
18 S. Kelly M
19 C. Lakin M
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
25 C. Donaldson
16 A. Iacovitti
8 O. Shaw
22 J. Tillson
24 H. Paton
21 J. Hilton
9 B. McKay
6 R. Draper
14 J. Hylton

Coach: J. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,29
B
4,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.