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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
Ross County
T S T S T
3–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
43%
32%
Both score Ø 36%
37%
35%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ross County 10. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 31 27 4 0 +65 85
2 Celtic 31 20 7 4 +42 67
3 Hibernian 30 15 7 8 +13 52
4 Aberdeen 31 13 9 9 +2 48
5 Livingston 30 11 7 12 +0 40
6 St Mirren 31 10 9 12 -5 39
7 Dundee United 31 8 11 12 -15 35
8 ST Johnstone 31 8 10 13 -8 34
9 Motherwell 31 8 8 15 -18 32
10 Ross County 30 7 5 18 -32 26
11 Kilmarnock 31 7 4 20 -16 25
12 Hamilton 30 6 7 17 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Nov -20 Kilmarnock – Ross County 3–1 12. Aug -20 Ross County – Kilmarnock 2–2 1. Feb -20 Kilmarnock – Ross County 3–1 14. Dec -19 Ross County – Kilmarnock 1–0 28. Sep -19 Kilmarnock – Ross County 0–0

Match report

Ross County Kilmarnock
18′
⚽ K. Lafferty 0–1
L. Hjelde 🔁
↦ C. Tremarco
22′
27′
🟨 Ross Millen
33′
🟨 Kyle Lafferty
1–1 B. McKay ⚽
J. Naismith
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 N. Kabamba
↦ M. Pinnock
46′
🔁 A. McGowan
↦ R. McKenzie
2–1 L. Hjelde ⚽
47′
3–1 B. McKay ⚽
J. Tillson
49′
Jordan Tillson 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 C. Burke
↦ Z. Medley
65′
🔁 D. Dabo
↦ G. Dicker
Charlie Lakin 🟨
69′
H. Paton 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
73′
77′
⚽ K. Lafferty 3–2
80′
🔁 A. Tshibola
↦ G. Kiltie
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ C. Lakin
82′
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ J. Tillson
82′
R. Draper 🔁
↦ B. McKay
82′
90′
🟨 Ross Millen
90′
🟥 Ross Millen
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ross County

3-5-1-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
3 C. Tremarco M
23 J. Naismith M
25 C. Donaldson D
16 A. Iacovitti D
22 J. Tillson M
20 B. Spittal M
19 C. Lakin M
9 B. McKay F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
4 L. Hjelde
24 H. Paton
8 O. Shaw
18 S. Kelly
6 R. Draper
17 R. Charles-Cook
7 M. Gardyne
21 J. Hilton
14 J. Hylton

Coach: J. Hughes

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
16 C. Doyle G
5 K. Broadfoot D
22 R. Millen D
3 B. Haunstrup D
24 Z. Medley D
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie M
19 M. Pinnock M
28 K. Lafferty F
10 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
11 N. Kabamba
2 A. McGowan
29 C. Burke
26 D. Dabo
27 A. Tshibola
14 Z. Rossi
18 C. Waters
12 D. Whitehall
23 D. Rogers

Coach: T. Wright

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,02
🔒
U
3,02
🔒
B
2,49
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,17
🔒
U2,5
1,67
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.