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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
St Mirren
U U T S S
1–2
Full-time
Hibernian
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 23/26 matches
Win Ø 41%
35%
46%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
35%
42%
Both score Ø 37%
43%
31%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
4 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Hibernian 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 26 23 3 0 +59 72
2 Celtic 24 14 7 3 +31 49
3 Aberdeen 25 12 8 5 +7 44
4 Hibernian 26 12 7 7 +10 43
5 Livingston 25 10 6 9 +3 36
6 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -3 29
7 Dundee United 26 6 10 10 -16 28
8 ST Johnstone 26 6 9 11 -10 27
9 Kilmarnock 25 7 3 15 -7 24
10 Motherwell 24 5 7 12 -15 22
11 Ross County 26 5 5 16 -31 20
12 Hamilton 24 5 4 15 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Hibernian
Jak Alnwick 🟥
36′
D. Lyness 🔁
↦ K. Dennis
38′
Half-time 0–0
J. Obika 🔁
↦ Í. Durmuş
46′
46′
🔁 R. Porteous
↦ D. McGregor
D. Connolly 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
54′
54′
🔁 K. Nisbet
↦ C. Cadden
55′
R. Porteous 0–1
M. Boyle
Dylan Connolly 🟨
56′
Marcus Fraser 🟨
70′
71′
M. Boyle 0–2
1–2 J. Obika
D. Connolly
74′
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ R. Tait
83′
88′
🟨 Alexander Gogić
93′
🔁 K. Magennis
↦ J. Murphy
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
8 R. Flynn M
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath M
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
20 K. Dennis F
29 E. Brophy F
Bench (9)
26 D. Lyness
9 J. Obika
21 D. Connolly
10 K. McAllister
3 B. Mason
25 E. Erhahon
14 C. MacPherson
15 D. Finlayson
23 L. Erwin

Coach: J. Goodwin

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
24 D. McGregor D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
27 C. Cadden M
25 J. Doig M
10 M. Boyle F
36 J. Irvine M
18 J. Murphy F
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
5 R. Porteous
15 K. Nisbet
7 K. Magennis
16 L. Stevenson
20 M. Hallberg
33 M. Macey
8 D. Wright
43 S. Bradley
23 S. Allan

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U
3,20
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.