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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Hibernian
S T S U T
3–2
Full-time
Hamilton
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 41%
56%
25%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · Hamilton 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 9 7 2 0 +19 23
2 Celtic 8 7 1 0 +18 22
3 Hibernian 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 Aberdeen 7 5 0 2 +3 15
5 Kilmarnock 9 3 2 4 +1 11
6 Ross County 9 3 2 4 -7 11
7 Dundee United 9 3 2 4 -7 11
8 Livingston 9 2 2 5 -4 8
9 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 -6 8
10 Hamilton 8 2 1 5 -7 7
11 ST Johnstone 9 2 1 6 -7 7
12 St Mirren 9 2 1 6 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Hamilton
15′
🔁 K. Munro
↦ S. Want
17′
🟨 Ross Callachan
19′
🟨 Hakeem Odofin
1–0 K. Nisbet
19′
2–0 K. Nisbet
J. Newell
35′
Half-time 2–0
M. Hallberg 🔁
↦ J. Newell
46′
46′
🔁 M. Ogkmpoe
↦ A. Winter
Paul McGinn 🟨
55′
3–0 P. Hanlon
C. Doidge
63′
64′
🔁 T. Owolabi
↦ S. Martin
73′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ D. Templeton
75′
R. Callachan 3–1
D. Wright 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
77′
84′
R. Porteous 4–1
own goal
S. Mallan 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 O. Marciano G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
5 R. Porteous D
10 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
18 J. Murphy M
9 C. Doidge F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
20 M. Hallberg
8 D. Wright
14 S. Mallan
25 J. Doig
29 R. Shanley
33 D. Barnes
24 D. McGregor
19 J. Gullan
2 D. Gray

Coach: J. Ross

Hamilton

4-4-2
22 K. Gourlay G
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann D
2 H. Odoffin D
12 S. Want D
6 J. Hamilton D
10 D. Templeton F
34 R. Callachan M
8 S. Martin M
7 W. Collar M
19 A. Winter F
Bench (9)
21 K. Munro
9 M. Ogkmpoe
36 T. Owolabi
32 C. Smith
4 B. Stirling
41 R. Scully
20 D. Moyo
18 R. Mimnaugh
14 C. Trafford

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,30
B
6,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.