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Premiership

Referee: W Collum

Kilmarnock

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Motherwell

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 25%

26%

23%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

37%

46%

Both score Ø 40%

37%

42%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Motherwell 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	28	24	4	0	+60	76
2	Celtic	26	16	7	3	+36	55
3	Hibernian	28	14	7	7	+13	49
4	Aberdeen	27	12	8	7	+3	44
5	Livingston	27	11	6	10	+4	39
6	St Mirren	25	9	5	11	-2	32
7	Dundee United	28	7	10	11	-15	31
8	ST Johnstone	28	7	9	12	-10	30
9	Motherwell	26	6	7	13	-15	25
10	Kilmarnock	27	7	3	17	-13	24
11	Ross County	28	6	5	17	-32	23
12	Hamilton	26	5	5	16	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	13	13	0	0	+38	39
2	Celtic	14	9	3	2	+18	30
3	Aberdeen	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Hibernian	14	5	5	4	+0	20
5	Livingston	14	5	3	6	-1	18
6	Dundee United	14	4	4	6	-5	16
7	Kilmarnock	13	4	2	7	-2	14
8	St Mirren	12	3	4	5	-4	13
9	ST Johnstone	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Motherwell	13	3	3	7	-9	12
11	Hamilton	14	2	4	8	-12	10
12	Ross County	14	2	4	8	-16	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	11	4	0	+22	37
2	Hibernian	14	9	2	3	+13	29
3	Celtic	12	7	4	1	+18	25
4	Livingston	13	6	3	4	+5	21
5	St Mirren	13	6	1	6	+2	19
6	Aberdeen	13	4	6	3	-2	18
7	ST Johnstone	15	4	5	6	-4	17
8	Dundee United	14	3	6	5	-10	15
9	Motherwell	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Ross County	14	4	1	9	-16	13
11	Kilmarnock	14	3	1	10	-11	10
12	Hamilton	12	3	1	8	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.