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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Kilmarnock
T T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Hamilton
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
38%
52%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 8. · Hamilton 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 22 20 2 0 +52 62
2 Celtic 19 13 4 2 +30 43
3 Aberdeen 20 11 6 3 +9 39
4 Hibernian 22 10 6 6 +7 36
5 Livingston 20 8 3 9 -1 27
6 Dundee United 22 6 8 8 -10 26
7 St Mirren 19 6 4 9 -7 22
8 Kilmarnock 21 6 3 12 -4 21
9 ST Johnstone 22 4 7 11 -12 19
10 Hamilton 21 5 3 13 -24 18
11 Motherwell 20 4 5 11 -14 17
12 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -20 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 1–0 19. Sep -20 Kilmarnock – Hamilton 2–1 7. Mar -20 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 1–0 9. Nov -19 Kilmarnock – Hamilton 2–2 10. Aug -19 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Hamilton
1–0 G. Kiltie ⚽
Y. Mulumbu
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ D. Moyo
2–0 G. Kiltie ⚽
B. Haunstrup
63′
D. Dabo 🔁
↦ Y. Mulumbu
79′
M. Pinnock 🔁
↦ C. Burke
79′
N. Kabamba 🔁
↦ D. Whitehall
79′
A. Tshibola 🔁
↦ A. Power
86′
90′
🟨 Jamie Hamilton
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
23 D. Rogers G
5 K. Broadfoot D
17 S. Findlay D
2 A. McGowan D
3 B. Haunstrup D
29 C. Burke M
21 Y. Mulumbu M
6 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie M
10 G. Kiltie F
12 D. Whitehall F
Bench (9)
26 D. Dabo
19 M. Pinnock
11 N. Kabamba
27 A. Tshibola
40 H. Broun
18 C. Waters
33 A. Taylor
4 C. Dikamona
32 T. Brindley

Coach: A. Dyer

Hamilton

3-4-1-2
22 K. Gourlay G
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
4 B. Stirling D
17 G. Stanger D
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan F
14 C. Trafford M
20 D. Moyo F
19 A. Winter F
Bench (9)
32 C. Smith
41 R. Scully
18 R. Mimnaugh
23 R. Fulton
37 J. Johnson
25 S. Slaven
21 K. Munro
36 T. Owolabi
15 R. Hughes

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
🔒
U
4,03
🔒
B
5,25
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,79
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,02
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.