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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Motherwell
U T T T U
1–2
Full-time
St Mirren
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 34%
48%
19%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
59%
42%
Both score Ø 42%
41%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
11 Corners 6
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 3. · St Mirren 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 25 1 2 +65 76
2 Rangers 27 20 4 3 +45 64
3 Motherwell 27 13 3 11 +1 42
4 Aberdeen 28 11 8 9 +2 41
5 Livingston 28 10 8 10 +3 38
6 Hibernian 28 9 10 9 -3 37
7 Kilmarnock 28 9 5 14 -9 32
8 ST Johnstone 27 7 11 9 -19 32
9 Ross County 28 7 8 13 -27 29
10 St Mirren 26 5 7 14 -14 22
11 Hamilton 28 4 9 15 -22 21
12 Hearts 27 3 10 14 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Dec -19 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–3 5. Oct -19 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–0

Match report

Motherwell St Mirren
1–0 L. Donnelly ⚽
12′
17′
🟨 Calum Waters
Half-time 1–1
50′
⚽ J. Obika 1–1
L. Hodson
R. MacIver 🔁
↦ M. OHara
56′
70′
🟨 Sam Foley
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ A. Campbell
71′
71′
🔁 T. Andreu
↦ A. Jakubiak
75′
🔁 R. Wallace
↦ J. McGrath
80′
🟨 Ross Wallace
S. Seedorf 🔁
↦ J. Hylton
83′
87′
⚽ Í. Durmuş 1–2
T. Andreu
89′
🟨 Vaclav Hladky
Declan Gallagher 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Akin Famewo
90′
🔁 J. Morias
↦ J. Obika
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-5-2
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
2 R. Tait D
31 D. Gallagher D
22 L. Donnelly D
19 L. Polworth M
52 M. O'Hara D
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
8 T. Watt F
17 R. Aarons M
Bench (7)
37 R. MacIver
7 D. Turnbull
11 S. Seedorf
4 L. Grimshaw
16 C. Ilic
1 T. Carson
24 B. Mugabi

Coach: S. Robinson

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 V. Hladký G
2 L. Hodson D
3 C. Waters D
5 C. McCarthy D
22 A. Famewo D
16 S. Foley M
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath M
24 C. MacPherson M
9 J. Obika F
28 A. Jakubiak F
Bench (7)
10 T. Andreu
29 R. Wallace
19 J. Morias
14 K. McAllister
26 D. Lyness
21 S. Chabbi
18 D. Mullen

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
🔒
U
3,30
🔒
B ✓
3,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,14
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.