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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Motherwell
T T T U T
4–1
Full-time
Ross County
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
46%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
61%
71%
Both score Ø 49%
43%
54%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 3. · Ross County 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 25 1 2 +65 76
2 Rangers 27 20 4 3 +45 64
3 Motherwell 28 13 3 12 +0 42
4 Aberdeen 28 11 8 9 +2 41
5 Livingston 28 10 8 10 +3 38
6 Hibernian 29 9 10 10 -5 37
7 Kilmarnock 28 9 5 14 -9 32
8 ST Johnstone 27 7 11 9 -19 32
9 Ross County 28 7 8 13 -27 29
10 St Mirren 27 6 7 14 -13 25
11 Hearts 28 4 10 14 -20 22
12 Hamilton 28 4 9 15 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Ross County
3′
L. Fontaine 0–1
I. Vigurs
16′
🟨 Callum Morris
1–1 M. O'Hara
17′
Rolando Aarons 🟨
20′
2–1 A. Campbell
25′
Half-time 2–1
64′
🟨 Iain Vigurs
Richard Tait 🟨
65′
65′
🔁 J. Tillson
↦ B. Spittal
67′
🔁 O. Shaw
↦ D. Cowie
67′
🔁 R. Stewart
↦ L. Erwin
3–1 A. Campbell
C. Long
75′
T. Watt 🔁
↦ C. Long
77′
80′
🟨 Ross Stewart
C. Ilic 🔁
↦ R. Aarons
82′
4–1 T. Watt
A. Campbell
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley M
2 R. Tait D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 L. Grimshaw D
19 L. Polworth M
52 M. O'Hara D
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
9 C. Long F
17 R. Aarons M
Bench (7)
8 T. Watt
16 C. Ilic
7 D. Turnbull
15 B. Maguire
24 B. Mugabi
1 T. Carson
12 C. Manzinga

Coach: S. Robinson

Ross County

4-4-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
18 R. Foster D
4 L. Fontaine M
5 C. Morris D
2 M. Fraser D
26 D. Cowie M
11 I. Vigurs M
14 J. Mullin M
20 B. Spittal M
9 B. McKay F
8 L. Erwin F
Bench (7)
22 J. Tillson
19 O. Shaw
27 R. Stewart
3 S. Kelly
21 N. Baxter
15 K. Watson
16 L. Spence

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,62
B
4,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.