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Super League
Referee: S Zampalas
AEK
S S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Atromitos
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
77%
15%
Points per game
2,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
15%
46%
Both score Ø 39%
23%
54%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Atromitos 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 12 1 1 +24 37
2 PAOK 14 11 2 1 +21 35
3 AEK 13 10 1 2 +7 31
4 Levadeiakos 14 6 5 3 +14 23
5 Volos NFC 14 7 1 6 -2 22
6 Panathinaikos 13 5 5 3 +5 20
7 Kifisia 14 4 4 6 -2 16
8 Aris Thessalonikis 13 4 4 5 -4 16
9 Aris 13 4 4 5 -4 16
10 Panetolikos 13 4 3 6 -3 15
11 Asteras Tripolis 14 2 7 5 -3 13
12 OFI Crete 13 4 0 9 -11 12
13 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -6 9
14 Larisa 14 1 5 8 -12 8
15 Panserraikos 13 1 3 9 -24 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -25 AEK – Atromitos 2–1 3. Nov -24 Atromitos – AEK 0–1 21. Jan -24 Atromitos – AEK 0–5 28. Sep -23 AEK – Atromitos 2–1 8. Mar -23 Atromitos – AEK 0–1

Match report

AEK Atromitos
1–0 O. Pineda ⚽
L. Rota
18′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Dimitrios Stavropoulos
A. Koita 🔁
↦ M. Gacinovic
61′
2–0 L. Jovic ⚽
65′
66′
🔁 J. Uronen
↦ Mansur
3–0 L. Jovic ⚽
R. Marin
70′
71′
🔁 A. Karamanis
↦ S. Moutoussamy
71′
🔁 M. Mountes
↦ Quini
73′
⚽ P. Tsantilas 3–1
A. Garcia
74′
🟨 Dimitrios Tsakmakis
81′
🔁 B. Palmezano
↦ M. Baku
81′
🔁 O. Ozegovic
↦ D. Jubitana
84′
🟨 Theocharis Tsingaras
R. Ljubicic 🔁
↦ D. Kaloskamis
85′
R. Pereyra 🔁
↦ Joao Mario
85′
4–1 R. Ljubicic ⚽
86′
M. Grujic 🔁
↦ R. Marin
88′
Z. Karargyris 🔁
↦ L. Jovic
88′
Stavros Pilios 🟨
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
18 R. Marin M
13 O. Pineda M
17 D. Kaloskamis
8 M. Gacinovic M
10 Joao Mario M
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
21 D. Vida
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos
4 M. Grujic
20 P. Mantalos
23 R. Ljubicic
37 R. Pereyra
19 N. Eliasson
11 A. Koita
27 Z. Karargyris

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Atromitos

4-4-1-1
1 L. Choutetsiotis G
17 Quini D
44 D. Tsakmakis D
4 D. Stavropoulos D
70 Mansur D
11 D. Jubitana M
92 S. Moutoussamy M
5 T. Tsingaras M
32 M. Baku M
26 A. Garcia F
19 P. Tsantilas
Bench (11)
6 A. Karamanis
55 A. Koselev
21 J. Uronen
16 G. Papadopoulos
30 V. Athanasiou
14 E. Hoxha
10 B. Palmezano
99 G. Tzovaras
20 S. Ampartzidis
12 M. Mountes
7 O. Ozegovic

Coach: Dusan Kerkez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
🔒
U
5,23
🔒
B
10,75
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
U2,5
2,01
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.