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Super League

Referee: R Schroder

Panathinaikos

T S S S S

2–3

Full-time

AEK

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 60%

45%

75%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

36%

Both score Ø 41%

64%

17%

Average goals

2,4

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 22

5 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	11	1	1	+21	34
2	PAOK	12	9	2	1	+17	29
3	AEK	12	9	1	2	+6	28
4	Levadeiakos	13	6	4	3	+14	22
5	Volos NFC	13	7	0	6	-2	21
6	Panathinaikos	11	5	4	2	+6	19
7	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	4	4	-2	16
8	Aris	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Kifisia	13	4	3	6	-2	15
10	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Asteras Tripolis	13	2	6	5	-3	12
12	OFI Crete	12	4	0	8	-8	12
13	Atromitos	13	2	3	8	-6	9
14	Larisa	13	1	4	8	-12	7
15	Panserraikos	13	1	3	9	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	AEK	7	6	0	1	+5	18
3	PAOK	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Levadeiakos	8	4	2	2	+12	14
5	Panathinaikos	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Aris	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Volos NFC	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	4	0	+3	7
10	Kifisia	7	2	1	4	-1	7
11	Panetolikos	6	2	0	4	+0	6
12	OFI Crete	7	2	0	5	-1	6
13	Panserraikos	6	1	1	4	-10	4
14	Atromitos	7	0	2	5	-5	2
15	Larisa	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Olympiakos	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Volos NFC	8	4	0	4	-2	12
4	AEK	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Panetolikos	7	2	3	2	-3	9
6	Panathinaikos	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Levadeiakos	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Kifisia	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Atromitos	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Aris	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	OFI Crete	5	2	0	3	-7	6
13	Larisa	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Asteras Tripolis	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Panserraikos	7	0	2	5	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.