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Super League

Referee: M Drmic

Lausanne

S U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Thun

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

79%

71%

Both score Ø 72%

79%

64%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,66 xG 1,30

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lausanne 9. · Thun 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	10	1	3	+11	-1.6	31
2	St. Gallen	14	9	0	5	+12	+3.4	27
3	Young Boys	15	7	5	3	+7	-0.9	26
4	Basel	14	7	2	5	+6	+10.2	23
5	Lugano	15	7	2	6	-1	+0.6	23
6	Sion	15	5	6	4	+3	+5.5	21
7	Zurich	15	6	2	7	-5	+2.7	20
8	Luzern	15	4	6	5	+2	-0.3	18
9	Lausanne	14	4	4	6	+3	+3.8	16
10	Servette	15	4	4	7	-5	+0.9	16
11	Grasshoppers	15	3	5	7	-10	-12.0	14
12	Winterthur	15	2	3	10	-23	-12.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	8	5	0	3	+8	+4.6	15
2	Young Boys	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.9	14
3	Lugano	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.6	14
4	Thun	7	4	1	2	+4	-2.6	13
5	Basel	6	4	0	2	+7	+11.0	12
6	Zurich	8	4	0	4	-2	+3.3	12
7	Lausanne	7	3	1	3	+6	+5.1	10
8	Grasshoppers	7	2	3	2	+3	-3.6	9
9	Servette	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.8	9
10	Sion	7	2	2	3	+1	+0.3	8
11	Luzern	8	1	4	3	+2	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	7	1	2	4	-4	-1.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	7	6	0	1	+7	+1.0	18
2	Sion	8	3	4	1	+2	+5.2	13
3	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+4	-1.2	12
4	Young Boys	8	3	3	2	-3	-6.7	12
5	Luzern	7	3	2	2	+0	-2.9	11
6	Basel	8	3	2	3	-1	-0.8	11
7	Lugano	7	3	0	4	-4	-1.0	9
8	Zurich	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.6	8
9	Servette	7	2	1	4	-3	+0.1	7
10	Lausanne	7	1	3	3	-3	-1.3	6
11	Grasshoppers	8	1	2	5	-13	-8.3	5
12	Winterthur	8	1	1	6	-19	-10.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.