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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S S

3–0

Full-time

Volendam

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Volendam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

85%

23%

Points per game

2,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

77%

69%

Both score Ø 73%

69%

77%

Average goals

4,5

2,9

Scored

3,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,70 xG 0,53

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Volendam 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	11	1	1	+24	+12.7	34
2	Feyenoord	13	9	1	3	+17	+19.0	28
3	Nijmegen	14	7	3	4	+13	+5.9	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	3	3	+5	+8.3	24
5	Ajax	13	5	5	3	+4	+2.8	20
6	Groningen	13	6	2	5	+0	+5.1	20
7	Utrecht	12	6	1	5	+6	-2.4	19
8	For Sittard	14	5	3	6	-2	-5.6	18
9	Twente	13	4	5	4	+2	+11.1	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	2	7	-12	-5.9	17
11	Heerenveen	13	4	4	5	-1	+10.5	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	4	5	-1	-5.5	16
13	Excelsior	14	5	1	8	-10	-9.2	16
14	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-12	-12.3	16
15	Volendam	13	3	5	5	-4	-10.0	14
16	Heracles	14	4	1	9	-14	-11.7	13
17	NAC Breda	14	3	3	8	-8	-6.3	12
18	Telstar	13	2	4	7	-7	-6.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	7	5	1	1	+11	+6.4	16
2	Utrecht	6	5	0	1	+10	+3.7	15
3	Feyenoord	7	5	0	2	+5	+11.1	15
4	For Sittard	7	4	2	1	+4	+2.6	14
5	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+9	+7.7	13
6	Ajax	7	4	1	2	+4	+5.3	13
7	Volendam	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
8	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+3	+8.8	12
9	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+4	+4.8	11
10	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+3	+4.4	11
11	Go Ahead Eagles	6	3	2	1	+3	+0.7	11
12	NAC Breda	7	3	1	3	+0	+3.1	10
13	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-5	-3.1	10
14	Heracles	6	3	0	3	+0	-1.8	9
15	Excelsior	7	3	0	4	-1	-4.2	9
16	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	+6.9	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-7	-3.2	8
18	Telstar	7	1	3	3	-3	+0.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	+5.0	21
2	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+12	+7.9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	1	2	+2	+3.9	13
4	Twente	7	2	3	2	+3	+4.2	9
5	Groningen	6	3	0	3	-4	+0.3	9
6	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	0	4	-5	-2.7	9
7	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+2	-0.4	8
8	Ajax	6	1	4	1	+0	-2.5	7
9	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-9	-5.0	7
10	Zwolle	7	1	3	3	-7	-9.2	6
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	1	2	4	-4	-6.1	5
12	Utrecht	6	1	1	4	-4	-6.1	4
13	Heerenveen	6	1	1	4	-4	+1.7	4
14	Telstar	6	1	1	4	-4	-6.8	4
15	For Sittard	7	1	1	5	-6	-8.2	4
16	Heracles	8	1	1	6	-14	-9.9	4
17	NAC Breda	7	0	2	5	-8	-9.4	2
18	Volendam	6	0	2	4	-8	-9.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.