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Super League

Referee: E Jorgji

AEK

U T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Panathinaikos

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 52%

53%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

44%

38%

Both score Ø 42%

31%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 2. · Panathinaikos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	32	22	6	4	+33	72
2	AEK	32	17	6	9	+26	57
3	Panathinaikos	32	16	9	7	+8	57
4	PAOK	32	17	5	10	+25	56
5	Aris Thessalonikis	31	15	8	8	+8	53
6	Aris	31	15	8	8	+8	53
7	Asteras Tripolis	34	14	6	14	-4	48
8	Atromitos	35	12	8	15	+0	44
9	OFI Crete	35	12	8	15	-6	44
10	Levadeiakos	33	10	11	12	+3	41
11	Panetolikos	33	11	8	14	-3	41
12	Volos NFC	33	10	7	16	-15	37
13	Panserraikos	33	9	6	18	-23	33
14	Athens Kallithea	33	6	10	17	-21	28
15	Lamia	33	3	8	22	-39	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	12	4	0	+18	40
2	Panathinaikos	16	11	4	1	+14	37
3	AEK	16	10	3	3	+23	33
4	Aris Thessalonikis	15	10	3	2	+12	33
5	Aris	15	10	3	2	+12	33
6	PAOK	16	8	2	6	+12	26
7	Asteras Tripolis	18	8	1	9	-4	25
8	Panetolikos	17	7	2	8	+1	23
9	OFI Crete	18	6	5	7	-2	23
10	Panserraikos	17	5	6	6	-4	21
11	Levadeiakos	16	5	5	6	+2	20
12	Atromitos	17	3	6	8	-5	15
13	Volos NFC	17	3	5	9	-9	14
14	Athens Kallithea	16	3	5	8	-11	14
15	Lamia	16	2	3	11	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	10	2	4	+15	32
2	PAOK	16	9	3	4	+13	30
3	Atromitos	18	9	2	7	+5	29
4	AEK	16	7	3	6	+3	24
5	Asteras Tripolis	16	6	5	5	+0	23
6	Volos NFC	16	7	2	7	-6	23
7	Levadeiakos	17	5	6	6	+1	21
8	OFI Crete	17	6	3	8	-4	21
9	Aris Thessalonikis	16	5	5	6	-4	20
10	Aris	16	5	5	6	-4	20
11	Panathinaikos	16	5	5	6	-6	20
12	Panetolikos	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	Athens Kallithea	17	3	5	9	-10	14
14	Panserraikos	16	4	0	12	-19	12
15	Lamia	17	1	5	11	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.