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Europa League
Referee: Simone Sozza
Panathinaikos
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,67 xG 0,26
54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Panathinaikos Sturm Graz
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
8′
1–0 K. Swiderski ⚽
A. Zaroury
18′
24′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
34′
⚽ O. Kiteishvili 1–1
J. Gorenc Stankovic
36′
🟨 Jeyland Mitchell
Karol Świderski 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
Anastasios Bakasetas 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 A. Malic
↦ J. Mitchell
61′
🔁 A. Kayombo
↦ M. Malone
61′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ F. Rozga
P. Chirivella 🔁
↦ Tete
65′
M. Pantovic 🔁
↦ K. Swiderski
65′
73′
🔁 J. Hodl
↦ O. Kiteishvili
2–1 D. Calabria ⚽
74′
78′
🔁 L. Grgic
↦ S. Jatta
G. Kotsiras 🔁
↦ D. Calabria
80′
84′
🟨 Tochi Chukwuani
F. Mladenovic 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

3-4-3
69 B. Dragowski G
15 S. I. Ingason D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
2 D. Calabria M
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
11 A. Bakasetas M
9 A. Zaroury M
10 Tete F
19 K. Swiderski F
31 F. Djuricic F
Bench (10)
70 K. Kotsaris
71 C. Geitonas
4 P. Chirivella
20 V. Taborda
25 F. Mladenovic
26 E. Fikaj
27 G. Kotsiras
30 A. Bregou
47 S. Terzis
72 M. Pantovic

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 O. Christensen G
2 J. Mitchell D
47 E. Aiwu D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
17 E. Karic D
8 F. Rozga
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
21 T. Chukwuani M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
77 M. Malone F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (12)
40 M. Bignetti
53 D. Khudyakov
5 T. Oermann
11 A. Kayombo
19 T. Horvat
22 J. Beck
23 A. Malic
24 D. Lavalee
25 S. Hierlander
26 B. Beganovic
38 L. Grgic
43 J. Hodl

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Simone Sozza · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.