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LaLiga2
Referee: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos
Zaragoza
S T T S S
3–2
Full-time
Leganes
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
20%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 5
11 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Zaragoza 22. · Leganes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 16 9 5 2 +17 +2.8 32
2 Santander 15 9 2 4 +10 +0.1 29
3 Almeria 16 8 5 3 +10 +0.4 29
4 Las Palmas 15 8 5 2 +9 +1.2 29
5 Burgos 16 7 4 5 +6 +1.5 25
6 Ceuta 16 7 3 6 -3 -3.2 24
7 Castellon 15 6 4 5 +3 +2.4 22
8 Valladolid 16 5 6 5 +2 +3.9 21
9 Cordoba 15 5 6 4 +0 -0.2 21
10 Cadiz 15 5 6 4 -2 -2.0 21
11 Sp Gijon 16 6 3 7 -3 +0.0 21
12 Cultural Leonesa 16 6 2 8 -3 -4.7 20
13 Malaga 16 5 4 7 -1 -1.3 19
14 Granada 16 4 7 5 -2 +0.9 19
15 Albacete 16 5 4 7 -5 -0.7 19
16 Huesca 16 5 4 7 -5 +1.3 19
17 Sociedad B 15 5 3 7 -1 +0.2 18
18 Leganes 15 4 6 5 -1 +2.7 18
19 Andorra 16 4 6 6 -6 -1.3 18
20 Eibar 15 4 5 6 -1 -0.3 17
21 Mirandes 15 3 3 9 -10 -0.5 12
22 Zaragoza 15 3 3 9 -14 -3.5 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Leganes
21′
Duk 0–1
G. Melero
27′
ℹ️ Marvel
VAR: Card upgrade
28′
🟥 Marvel
Raúl Guti 🟨
32′
1–1 K. Kodro
Francho
35′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Imigene
↦ A. Millan
58′
🟨 Amadou Diawara
59′
🟨 Gonzalo Melero
Keidi Bare 🟨
60′
F. Moyano 🔁
↦ M. Soberon
63′
T. Moya 🔁
↦ K. Bare
63′
65′
🟨 Ignasi Miquel
2–1 T. Moya
66′
70′
🔁 C. Guirao
↦ J. Cruz
70′
🔁 D. Garcia
↦ G. Melero
3–1 Francho
M. Aguirregabiria
76′
78′
🔁 A. Campos
↦ A. Diawara
L. Terrer 🔁
↦ R. Guti
79′
D. Tasende 🔁
↦ Valery
79′
79′
🔁 B. Pauwels
↦ R. Lopez
81′
🟨 Carlos Guirao
S. Bakis 🔁
↦ K. Kodro
84′
90′
D. Garcia 3–2
96′
🟥 Duk
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 E. Andrada G
20 M. Aguirregabiria D
4 P. Insua D
16 A. Radovanovic D
15 C. Pomares D
10 R. Guti M
6 K. Bare M
14 Francho M
7 M. Soberon M
21 Valery M
19 K. Kodro F
Bench (12)
31 H. Pinilla
12 S. Bakis
5 Tachi
34 L. Terrer
17 F. Moyano
3 D. Tasende
24 P. Akouokou
2 J. Sebastian
29 P. Sans
13 A. Rodriguez
36 A. Gomes
8 T. Moya

Coach: Gabriel Fernández Arenas

Leganes

5-3-2
1 J. Soriano G
10 J. Cruz D
22 S. Figueredo D
5 I. Miquel D
2 Marvel D
17 N. Garcia D
14 R. Lopez M
24 A. Diawara M
16 G. Melero M
23 A. Millan F
11 Duk F
Bench (12)
38 D. Gueye
18 B. Pauwels
9 M. de la Fuente
27 S. Imigene
15 E. Franquesa
21 A. Campos
3 J. Saenz
42 N. Lozano
13 M. San Roman
26 C. Guirao
19 D. Garcia
20 O. Plano

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,65
U
2,93
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,48
U2,5
1,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.