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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myc
Wisla Plock
S U S U U
0–0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
20%
73%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,50 xG 1,68
32% Possession 68%
7 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 13
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 15
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla Plock 3. · Lech Poznan 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 17 9 3 5 +8 -3.6 30
2 Jagiellonia 15 8 4 3 +9 -2.2 28
3 Wisla Plock 15 7 6 2 +9 +4.4 27
4 Rakow 16 8 2 6 +3 +3.5 26
5 Radomiak Radom 17 7 4 6 +5 +1.5 25
6 Cracovia 16 7 4 5 +4 +2.1 25
7 Lech Poznan 15 6 6 3 +3 +9.9 24
8 Korona Kielce 17 6 5 6 +2 -0.6 23
9 Zaglebie 16 5 7 4 +5 -1.4 22
10 Lechia Gdansk 17 6 4 7 -3 -0.1 22
11 Widzew Lodz 17 6 2 9 -1 +3.2 20
12 Pogon Szczecin 17 6 2 9 -4 +7.2 20
13 GKS Katowice 16 6 2 8 -4 -7.2 20
14 Motor Lublin 15 4 7 4 -4 +0.2 19
15 Legia 15 4 6 5 +1 +0.8 18
16 Arka Gdynia 17 5 3 9 -18 -8.6 18
17 Nieciecza 17 4 4 9 -12 -3.8 16
18 Piast Gliwice 15 3 5 7 -3 -5.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Lech Poznan
10′
🔁 M. Skrzypczak
↦ A. Milic
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ L. Palma
60′
🔁 M. Ishak
↦ Y. Agnero
N. Mijuskovic 🔁
↦ G. Niarchos
64′
I. Salvador 🔁
↦ D. Pacheco
64′
K. Custovic 🔁
↦ L. Sekulski
72′
74′
🟨 Mikael Ishak
K. Pomorski 🔁
↦ W. Nowak
82′
84′
🟨 Filip Jagiełło
87′
🔁 K. Lisman
↦ L. Bengtsson
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

3-5-2
12 R. Leszczynski G
4 M. Haglind-Sangre D
35 M. Kaminski D
19 A. Edmundsson D
21 Z. Rogelj M
14 D. Kun M
8 D. Pacheco M
30 W. Nowak M
13 Q. Lecoeuche M
20 L. Sekulski F
9 G. Niarchos F
Bench (12)
1 S. Pruszkowski
3 A. Kalandadze
5 B. Nastic
6 K. Pomorski
16 F. Hiszpanski
17 M. Djalo
25 N. Mijuskovic
37 O. Tomczyk
42 F. Zajac
66 I. Salvador
84 T. Tavares
2 K. Custovic

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Lech Poznan

4-4-2
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
27 W. Monka D
16 A. Milic D
15 M. Gurgul D
99 P. Rodriguez M
43 A. Kozubal M
24 F. Jagiello M
14 L. Bengtsson M
7 Y. Agnero F
77 L. Palma F
Bench (12)
33 M. Pruchniewski
4 J. Moutinho
6 T. Ouma
8 A. Gholizadeh
9 M. Ishak
19 B. Fiabema
20 R. Gumny
21 B. Baranski
23 G. Thordarson
56 K. Lisman
72 M. Skrzypczak
88 T. Ismaheel

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myc · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.