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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
PAOK
T T T S S
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
53%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 43%
53%
33%
Average goals
3,1
1,7
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 4. · Asteras Tripolis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 16 14 2 0 +20 44
2 AEK 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 Giannina 15 7 4 4 +10 25
4 PAOK 15 8 1 6 +9 25
5 Aris Thessalonikis 14 7 3 4 +3 24
6 Aris 14 7 3 4 +3 24
7 OFI Crete 15 4 9 2 +2 21
8 Panathinaikos 14 6 2 6 +10 20
9 Asteras Tripolis 15 4 5 6 +0 17
10 Ionikos 15 4 5 6 -5 17
11 Volos NFC 15 4 3 8 -6 15
12 Panetolikos 16 4 3 9 -15 15
13 Lamia 16 2 5 9 -8 11
14 Atromitos 16 2 3 11 -20 9
15 Apollon 13 1 5 7 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Asteras Tripolis
12′
K. Soni 0–1
David Carmona
1–1 C. Akpom
Douglas Augusto
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Léo Tilica
↦ Sito
2–1 J. Kurtič
49′
60′
G. Christopoulos 2–2
F. Álvarez
65′
🟨 Juan Munafo
66′
🟨 Federico Alvarez
68′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ J. Barrales
S. Ingason 🔁
↦ E. Mihaj
71′
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ C. Tsingaras
71′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
71′
Stefan Schwab 🟨
74′
82′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ Xesc Regis
K. Świderski 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
86′
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ Sidcley
86′
87′
🟨 David Carmona
88′
🟨 Rubén García
3–2 J. Kurtič
90′
91′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ José Luis Valiente
91′
🔁 Asier Benito
↦ David Carmona
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
15 José Crespo D
16 Sidcley D
19 L. Lyratzis D
6 E. Mihaj D
21 D. Biseswar M
27 J. Kurtič M
8 Douglas Augusto M
51 C. Tsingaras M
14 A. Živković F
47 C. Akpom F
Bench (9)
4 S. Ingason
22 S. Schwab
10 T. Murg
9 K. Świderski
20 Vieirinha
44 A. Esiti
65 I. Konstantelias
5 Fernando Varela
88 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
29 F. Álvarez D
12 David Carmona D
19 Pepe Castaño D
45 G. Christopoulos D
8 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
9 J. Barrales F
27 K. Soni F
11 Xesc Regis F
Bench (9)
7 Léo Tilica
23 Adrián Riera
2 Rubén García
17 M. Iglesias
22 Asier Benito
3 C. Tasoulis
1 N. Papadopoulos
18 Pichu Atienza
24 G. Kanellopoulos

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,14
B
6,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.