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Super League
Referee: S Zabalas
PAOK
T T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
56%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
56%
69%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 5
11 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 5. · Panetolikos 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 14 3 0 +20 45
2 AEK 17 11 3 3 +14 36
3 Panathinaikos 18 9 2 7 +14 29
4 Giannina 18 8 5 5 +9 29
5 PAOK 16 9 1 6 +10 28
6 Aris Thessalonikis 16 8 3 5 +2 27
7 Aris 16 8 3 5 +2 27
8 OFI Crete 18 5 10 3 +2 25
9 Asteras Tripolis 17 5 5 7 +0 20
10 Volos NFC 16 5 3 8 -4 18
11 Ionikos 18 4 5 9 -8 17
12 Panetolikos 16 4 3 9 -15 15
13 Lamia 17 2 5 10 -10 11
14 Apollon 14 1 6 7 -16 9
15 Atromitos 16 2 3 11 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Panetolikos
10′
🟨 Nikolaos Melissas
15′
🟨 Deybi Flores
1–0 J. Kurtič
29′
Half-time 1–0
Rodrigo 🟨
55′
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Alves
62′
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ C. Tsingaras
70′
Léo Jabá 🔁
↦ T. Murg
70′
73′
🟨 Derek Cornelius
75′
🔁 J. Mårtensson
↦ J. Mendoza
75′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ Frederico Duarte
Sidcley 🔁
↦ A. Mitriță
77′
A. Čolak 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
77′
86′
🔁 C. Belevonis
↦ A. Tsigaras
86′
🔁 J. Morsay
↦ Hélder Barbosa
2–0 Léo Jabá
Sidcley
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
4 S. Ingason D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
49 G. Michailidis D
19 L. Lyratzis D
27 J. Kurtič M
10 T. Murg M
8 Douglas Augusto M
51 C. Tsingaras M
28 A. Mitriță M
9 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
20 Vieirinha
22 S. Schwab
11 Léo Jabá
16 Sidcley
29 A. Čolak
15 José Crespo
13 Lucas Taylor
88 Ž. Živković
6 E. Mihaj

Coach: R. Lucescu

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
22 N. Melissas G
8 B. Lluy D
5 B. Vrgoč D
13 D. Cornelius D
47 A. Malis D
10 Hélder Barbosa M
30 J. Mendoza M
20 D. Flores M
14 Frederico Duarte M
37 A. Tsigaras M
9 N. Vergos F
Bench (5)
17 J. Mårtensson
7 N. Karelis
18 C. Belevonis
25 J. Morsay
26 M. Pardalos

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,26
U
5,57
B
10,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Zabalas · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.