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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
2–1
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
3,2
Conceded
2,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+3,0
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 52%
26%
78%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
61%
Both score Ø 31%
48%
13%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 14. · Ajax 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 +65 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 24 18 1 5 +29 55
3 Feyenoord 24 16 3 5 +34 51
4 Twente 24 13 6 5 +8 45
5 AZ Alkmaar 22 14 2 6 +17 44
6 Utrecht 21 10 5 6 +11 35
7 Vitesse 21 11 2 8 -7 35
8 Cambuur 24 10 3 11 -10 33
9 Nijmegen 24 8 7 9 -7 31
10 Groningen 24 7 8 9 -5 29
11 Heracles 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Heerenveen 22 7 4 11 -11 25
13 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
14 Go Ahead Eagles 23 6 5 12 -16 23
15 Willem II 24 6 3 15 -22 21
16 For Sittard 23 5 4 14 -27 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 8 12 -19 17
18 Zwolle 24 4 5 15 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Ajax
1–0 Iñigo Córdoba
I. Lidberg
18′
Cuco Martina 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Mazraoui
↦ D. Rensch
2–0 P. Rommens
L. Brouwers
48′
59′
🔁 Danilo
↦ E. Álvarez
59′
🔁 R. Gravenberch
↦ D. Klaassen
64′
S. Berghuis 2–1
O. Heil 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
70′
G. Botos 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
70′
B. Lucassen 🔁
↦ J. Idzes
70′
82′
🔁 M. Kudus
↦ Antony
E. Linthorst 🔁
↦ O. Heil
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-1-3-2
23 A. Noppert G
15 C. Martina D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl D
21 Iñigo Córdoba F
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes M
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (12)
19 O. Heil
30 G. Botos
2 B. Lucassen
37 E. Linthorst
33 N. Hengelman
26 J. Bakker
31 J. Schuurman
17 F. Ross
28 A. Aventisian
29 Cardona
7 M. Berden
27 J. Mulenga

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Ajax

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
17 D. Blind D
3 P. Schuurs D
21 L. Martínez D
15 D. Rensch D
6 D. Klaassen M
4 E. Álvarez M
10 D. Tadić M
23 S. Berghuis M
22 S. Haller F
11 Antony M
Bench (11)
12 N. Mazraoui
9 Danilo
8 R. Gravenberch
20 M. Kudus
26 V. Jensen
52 C. Raatsie
51 C. Setford
31 N. Tagliafico
25 K. Taylor
30 M. Daramy
53 L. van Gelderen

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
16,89
U
7,60
B
1,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.