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Super League
Aris
S T U U S
2–1
Full-time
AEK
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 54%
47%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
26%
65%
Both score Ø 41%
26%
55%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 8. · AEK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 21 16 5 0 +24 53
2 AEK 20 12 3 5 +14 39
3 PAOK 20 12 2 6 +19 38
4 Panathinaikos 22 10 3 9 +13 33
5 Giannina 22 9 6 7 +7 33
6 Asteras Tripolis 21 9 5 7 +5 32
7 Aris Thessalonikis 19 9 5 5 +4 32
8 Aris 19 9 5 5 +4 32
9 OFI Crete 23 7 10 6 +0 31
10 Volos NFC 20 7 3 10 -7 24
11 Panetolikos 22 6 3 13 -20 21
12 Ionikos 21 5 5 11 -9 20
13 Lamia 21 4 7 10 -8 19
14 Apollon 20 1 8 11 -23 11
15 Atromitos 19 2 4 13 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
2,96
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,50
U2,5
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.