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Serie B

Monza

T S S T S

0–1

Full-time

Lecce

U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 48%

48%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

9 Corners 1

10 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 6. · Lecce 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	26	14	7	5	+17	49
2	Brescia	26	13	9	4	+15	48
3	Lecce	25	12	10	3	+19	46
4	Benevento	26	13	7	6	+18	46
5	Pisa	25	12	10	3	+13	46
6	Monza	25	12	8	5	+13	44
7	Frosinone	25	10	11	4	+15	41
8	Perugia	26	10	11	5	+7	41
9	Ascoli	25	11	6	8	+4	39
10	Cittadella	25	10	8	7	+2	38
11	Como	26	8	11	7	-2	35
12	Parma	26	7	11	8	+3	32
13	Reggina	25	9	5	11	-11	32
14	Ternana	26	8	7	11	-5	31
15	Spal	26	6	9	11	-10	27
16	Alessandria	26	6	5	15	-14	23
17	Cosenza	26	5	8	13	-17	23
18	Vicenza	26	4	6	16	-18	18
19	Crotone	25	2	9	14	-17	15
20	Pordenone	26	2	6	18	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	Lecce	13	8	4	1	+16	28
3	Cremonese	13	7	5	1	+10	26
4	Benevento	13	7	3	3	+13	24
5	Pisa	13	6	6	1	+6	24
6	Frosinone	13	5	6	2	+9	21
7	Brescia	13	4	6	3	+3	18
8	Como	13	4	6	3	+3	18
9	Cittadella	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Parma	13	4	5	4	+5	17
11	Perugia	13	4	5	4	+2	17
12	Cosenza	13	5	2	6	-2	17
13	Reggina	12	5	2	5	-3	17
14	Ternana	13	5	1	7	-1	16
15	Alessandria	13	4	3	6	-5	15
16	Spal	13	3	5	5	+2	14
17	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	-3	13
18	Crotone	13	2	6	5	-4	12
19	Vicenza	13	2	4	7	-7	10
20	Pordenone	13	1	4	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	13	9	3	1	+12	30
2	Ascoli	13	8	2	3	+7	26
3	Perugia	13	6	6	1	+5	24
4	Cremonese	13	7	2	4	+7	23
5	Pisa	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Benevento	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Frosinone	12	5	5	2	+6	20
8	Cittadella	13	5	5	3	-1	20
9	Lecce	12	4	6	2	+3	18
10	Como	13	4	5	4	-5	17
11	Monza	13	3	6	4	-1	15
12	Parma	13	3	6	4	-2	15
13	Ternana	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Reggina	13	4	3	6	-8	15
15	Spal	13	3	4	6	-12	13
16	Alessandria	13	2	2	9	-9	8
17	Vicenza	13	2	2	9	-11	8
18	Cosenza	13	0	6	7	-15	6
19	Pordenone	13	1	2	10	-19	5
20	Crotone	12	0	3	9	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.