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LaLiga2
Alcorcon
U T T T U
2–2
Full-time
Ponferradina
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
7%
46%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 22. · Ponferradina 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 29 17 8 4 +15 59
2 Almeria 29 18 4 7 +24 58
3 Valladolid 29 16 7 6 +17 55
4 Tenerife 29 15 7 7 +19 52
5 Ponferradina 28 13 8 7 +7 47
6 Girona 29 12 7 10 +7 43
7 Ibiza 29 10 11 8 +4 41
8 Oviedo 29 9 14 6 +4 41
9 Las Palmas 29 10 10 9 +1 40
10 Cartagena 28 12 3 13 -3 39
11 Burgos 29 11 5 13 +3 38
12 Huesca 29 9 10 10 +6 37
13 Lugo 29 7 16 6 +2 37
14 Leganes 29 9 10 10 -1 37
15 Zaragoza 29 7 15 7 -5 36
16 Sp Gijon 29 9 8 12 -3 35
17 Mirandes 29 9 6 14 -9 33
18 Malaga 28 8 8 12 -18 32
19 Sociedad B 29 6 8 15 -11 26
20 Amorebieta 29 4 14 11 -13 26
21 Fuenlabrada 29 4 14 11 -13 26
22 Alcorcon 28 2 7 19 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U ✓
2,98
B
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,54
U2,5
1,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.