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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
AEK
T S T T T
3–0
Full-time
Apollon
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Apollon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Super League · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 30%
55%
5%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
68%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
59%
24%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Apollon 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 21 16 5 0 +24 53
2 PAOK 21 13 2 6 +21 41
3 AEK 22 12 3 7 +12 39
4 Giannina 23 10 6 7 +8 36
5 Aris Thessalonikis 21 10 5 6 +3 35
6 Aris 21 10 5 6 +3 35
7 Panathinaikos 22 10 3 9 +13 33
8 Asteras Tripolis 21 9 5 7 +5 32
9 OFI Crete 23 7 10 6 +0 31
10 Volos NFC 23 9 4 10 -3 31
11 Ionikos 22 5 6 11 -9 21
12 Panetolikos 23 6 3 14 -21 21
13 Lamia 21 4 7 10 -8 19
14 Apollon 21 1 8 12 -25 11
15 Atromitos 19 2 4 13 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Apollon
10′
🟨 Christos Lisgaras
Damien Le Tallec 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
Milad Mohammadi 🟨
47′
1–0 S. Araújo ⚽
L. Garcia
52′
57′
🟨 Nikola Jakimovski
58′
🔁 N. Ioannidis
↦ N. Signevich
58′
🔁 G. Gianniotas
↦ G. Pamlidis
58′
🔁 V. Slivka
↦ R. Chibsah
N. Amrabat 🔁
↦ D. Jevtić
62′
2–0 S. Zuber ⚽
67′
3–0 S. Araújo ⚽
C. Michelin
71′
K. Ansarifard 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
72′
M. Tankovic 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
72′
72′
🔁 N. Martínez
↦ S. Tsiloulis
72′
🔁 G. Papageorgiou
↦ V. Vitlis
Y. Shakhov 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
73′
Milad Mohammadi 🟨
79′
Milad Mohammadi 🟥
79′
E. Hajsafi 🔁
↦ D. Le Tallec
81′
85′
🟨 Nikos Ioannidis
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 P. Tsintotas G
19 C. Michelin D
5 E. Svarnas D
3 M. Mohammadi D
24 G. Mitoglou D
6 D. Le Tallec M
17 S. Zuber M
88 D. Jevtić M
4 D. Szymański M
11 S. Araújo F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
7 N. Amrabat
10 K. Ansarifard
22 M. Tankovic
28 Y. Shakhov
26 E. Hajsafi
12 L. Rota
61 V. Chatziemmanouil
63 G. Kornezos
80 G. Moustakopoulos

Coach: A. Giannikis

Apollon

3-4-3
13 D. Verhulst G
44 T. Rogne D
31 C. Lisgaras D
2 A. Dentakis D
15 N. Jakimovski M
64 F. Andoni M
19 R. Chibsah M
23 S. Tsiloulis M
3 V. Vitlis D
20 N. Signevich F
7 G. Pamlidis F
Bench (9)
9 N. Ioannidis
70 G. Gianniotas
14 V. Slivka
10 N. Martínez
11 G. Papageorgiou
17 J. Tutuarima
1 K. Kotsaris
4 A. Rhaili
6 D. Baxevanidis

Coach: G. Festa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
5,53
B
11,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.