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Super League

Referee: O Grinfeeld

Olympiakos

U S U S S

1–0

Full-time

AEK

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Super League · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 67%

77%

57%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

70%

Both score Ø 51%

45%

57%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

6 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	22	17	5	0	+27	56
2	PAOK	23	15	2	6	+23	47
3	AEK	23	13	3	7	+15	42
4	Panathinaikos	24	11	3	10	+14	36
5	Giannina	23	10	6	7	+8	36
6	Aris Thessalonikis	21	10	5	6	+3	35
7	Aris	21	10	5	6	+3	35
8	OFI Crete	24	8	10	6	+1	34
9	Asteras Tripolis	22	9	5	8	+4	32
10	Volos NFC	24	9	4	11	-4	31
11	Ionikos	24	6	6	12	-11	24
12	Panetolikos	24	6	4	14	-21	22
13	Lamia	23	4	7	12	-12	19
14	Atromitos	21	3	4	14	-22	13
15	Apollon	23	1	9	13	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	13	9	2	2	+20	29
2	Olympiakos	11	9	2	0	+13	29
3	PAOK	13	8	2	3	+11	26
4	Asteras Tripolis	12	7	1	4	+6	22
5	AEK	11	7	0	4	+9	21
6	Giannina	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Aris Thessalonikis	10	5	3	2	+1	18
8	Aris	10	5	3	2	+1	18
9	OFI Crete	13	4	6	3	-1	18
10	Volos NFC	12	5	1	6	-3	16
11	Ionikos	11	4	3	4	-2	15
12	Atromitos	10	3	1	6	-5	10
13	Apollon	12	1	7	4	-7	10
14	Lamia	11	2	3	6	-6	9
15	Panetolikos	11	2	2	7	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	8	3	0	+14	27
2	PAOK	10	7	0	3	+12	21
3	AEK	12	6	3	3	+6	21
4	Giannina	12	5	3	4	+6	18
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	5	2	4	+2	17
6	Aris	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	OFI Crete	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Volos NFC	12	4	3	5	-1	15
9	Panetolikos	13	4	2	7	-13	14
10	Asteras Tripolis	10	2	4	4	-2	10
11	Lamia	12	2	4	6	-6	10
12	Ionikos	13	2	3	8	-9	9
13	Panathinaikos	11	2	1	8	-6	7
14	Atromitos	11	0	3	8	-17	3
15	Apollon	11	0	2	9	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.