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Primeira Liga

Referee: André Narciso

Benfica

S T S S U

3–0

Full-time

Guimaraes

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 53%

70%

35%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

65%

61%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

3,6

2,7

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

9 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 9

5 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Guimaraes 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	23	20	3	0	+42	63
2	Sp Lisbon	24	18	4	2	+31	58
3	Benfica	23	16	3	4	+38	51
4	Sp Braga	23	13	5	5	+17	44
5	Gil Vicente	23	11	7	5	+11	40
6	Guimaraes	23	8	6	9	+3	30
7	Estoril	23	7	9	7	-1	30
8	Portimonense	24	7	8	9	-2	29
9	Maritimo	24	7	8	9	-3	29
10	Pacos Ferreira	24	6	9	9	-7	27
11	Famalicao	24	6	8	10	-7	26
12	Santa Clara	23	6	7	10	-15	25
13	Vizela	24	5	9	10	-14	24
14	Boavista	23	3	13	7	-9	22
15	Arouca	24	5	7	12	-20	22
16	Moreirense	24	4	8	12	-16	20
17	Tondela	24	6	2	16	-17	20
18	Belenenses	24	3	6	15	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Sp Lisbon	12	10	1	1	+17	31
3	Sp Braga	12	7	3	2	+12	24
4	Benfica	11	7	1	3	+15	22
5	Guimaraes	11	6	2	3	+7	20
6	Santa Clara	12	5	4	3	-5	19
7	Gil Vicente	12	5	3	4	+4	18
8	Boavista	12	3	8	1	+3	17
9	Maritimo	12	3	6	3	+3	15
10	Famalicao	12	3	5	4	-1	14
11	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	5	4	-2	14
12	Vizela	13	3	5	5	-5	14
13	Moreirense	11	3	3	5	-1	12
14	Estoril	11	2	6	3	-1	12
15	Tondela	12	4	0	8	-7	12
16	Arouca	12	3	2	7	-15	11
17	Belenenses	12	3	2	7	-16	11
18	Portimonense	12	2	4	6	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Benfica	12	9	2	1	+23	29
3	Sp Lisbon	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Gil Vicente	11	6	4	1	+7	22
5	Sp Braga	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Portimonense	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Estoril	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Maritimo	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Famalicao	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Arouca	12	2	5	5	-5	11
12	Guimaraes	12	2	4	6	-4	10
13	Vizela	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Tondela	12	2	2	8	-10	8
15	Moreirense	13	1	5	7	-15	8
16	Santa Clara	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Boavista	11	0	5	6	-12	5
18	Belenenses	12	0	4	8	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.