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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Brest
T S T S U
0–1
Full-time
Lorient
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
32%
16%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
36%
Both score Ø 60%
68%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
4 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 12. · Lorient 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 19 5 2 +33 62
2 Nice 26 14 5 7 +16 47
3 Marseille 25 13 7 5 +15 46
4 Rennes 26 13 4 9 +26 43
5 Strasbourg 26 12 7 7 +17 43
6 Lyon 25 10 9 6 +3 39
7 Monaco 26 10 8 8 +10 38
8 Nantes 25 11 5 9 +5 38
9 Lens 25 10 7 8 +4 37
10 Montpellier 26 11 4 11 +3 37
11 Lille 25 9 9 7 -3 36
12 Brest 25 8 8 9 -3 32
13 Reims 26 7 10 9 +0 31
14 Angers 25 7 8 10 -6 29
15 Clermont 25 7 6 12 -15 27
16 St Etienne 26 5 7 14 -23 22
17 Troyes 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Lorient 25 4 9 12 -19 21
19 Metz 25 4 9 12 -20 21
20 Bordeaux 25 4 9 12 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brest Lorient
Brendan Chardonnet 🟥
29′
J. Uronen 🔁
↦ Y. Belaïli
32′
43′
🟨 Bonke Innocent
45′
🟨 Armand Lauriente
Half-time 0–0
Martín Satriano 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Houboulang Mendes
54′
🔁 S. Soumano
↦ B. Innocent
65′
🟨 Laurent Abergel
70′
🔁 I. Koné
↦ T. Moffi
S. Mounié 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
71′
P. Lasne 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
71′
73′
I. Koné 0–1
L. Abergel
Lucien Agoumé 🟨
81′
H. Belkebla 🔁
↦ L. Agoume
86′
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ F. Honorat
86′
90′
🔁 E. Le Fée
↦ L. Abergel
90′
🔁 M. Jenz
↦ A. Laurienté
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
23 C. Hérelle D
5 B. Chardonnet D
2 J. Duverne D
3 L. Brassier D
27 H. Magnetti M
10 L. Agoume M
24 Y. Belaïli M
9 F. Honorat M
25 R. Del Castillo M
11 M. Satriano
Bench (9)
20 J. Uronen
15 S. Mounié
8 P. Lasne
7 H. Belkebla
26 J. Le Douaron
1 G. Larsonneur
28 H. Mananga Mbock
19 R. Said Ahamada
22 J. Faussurier

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Lorient

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dreyer G
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
19 L. Pétrot D
17 H. Mendes D
23 T. Monconduit M
6 L. Abergel M
8 B. Innocent M
38 Dango Ouattara M
28 A. Laurienté M
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
22 S. Soumano
9 I. Koné
10 E. Le Fée
3 M. Jenz
30 P. Nardi
21 J. Morel
14 J. Hergault
11 Q. Boisgard
2 Igor Silva

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U
3,31
B ✓
3,80
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.