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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Sparta Rotterdam

U U T T S

1–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 44%

14%

74%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

41%

78%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

65%

Average goals

2,4

3,7

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 11

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	18	3	2	+65	57
2	PSV Eindhoven	23	17	1	5	+28	52
3	Feyenoord	24	16	3	5	+34	51
4	Twente	24	13	6	5	+8	45
5	AZ Alkmaar	22	14	2	6	+17	44
6	Utrecht	21	10	5	6	+11	35
7	Vitesse	21	11	2	8	-7	35
8	Cambuur	24	10	3	11	-10	33
9	Nijmegen	24	8	7	9	-7	31
10	Groningen	24	7	8	9	-5	29
11	Heracles	24	7	5	12	-6	26
12	Heerenveen	22	7	4	11	-11	25
13	Waalwijk	24	5	8	11	-13	23
14	Go Ahead Eagles	23	6	5	12	-16	23
15	Willem II	24	6	3	15	-22	21
16	For Sittard	23	5	4	14	-27	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	8	11	-18	17
18	Zwolle	24	4	5	15	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	12	9	2	1	+16	29
2	Ajax	12	9	1	2	+43	28
3	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	+20	28
4	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	0	3	+15	27
5	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
6	Heracles	13	7	3	3	+6	24
7	Twente	11	6	4	1	+9	22
8	Cambuur	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Groningen	12	3	6	3	+1	15
10	Vitesse	10	4	1	5	-8	13
11	Willem II	12	4	1	7	-8	13
12	Waalwijk	12	4	1	7	-10	13
13	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	0	7	-5	12
14	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-6	11
15	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-7	11
16	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
17	Nijmegen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Zwolle	12	2	4	6	-5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	Feyenoord	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Twente	13	7	2	4	-1	23
5	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
6	Nijmegen	13	6	3	4	-3	21
7	Cambuur	12	5	2	5	-7	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Heerenveen	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Groningen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Utrecht	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	2	5	5	-11	11
13	Waalwijk	12	1	7	4	-3	10
14	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	For Sittard	13	2	2	9	-17	8
16	Zwolle	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	11	0	2	9	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.