Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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West Ham
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | +47 | 66 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +50 | 60 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | +31 | 50 |
| 4 |
Man United
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
West Ham
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Tottenham
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +3 | 42 |
| 8 |
Wolves
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 9 |
Southampton
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |
Crystal Palace
|
27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -4 | 30 |
| 13 |
Leicester
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 |
Brentford
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 |
Leeds
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -31 | 23 |
| 17 |
Everton
|
24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 |
Burnley
|
24 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Watford
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -22 | 19 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -40 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Johnson
D
D. Rice
M
Pablo Fornals
M
M. Antonio
F
J. Bowen
M
Coach: D. Moyes
José Sá
G
M. Kilman
D
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
Fábio Silva
F
Coach: Bruno Lage
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Ham
Newcastle
Leicester
West Ham
West Ham
Watford
Man United
West Ham
West Ham
Leeds
A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.