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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Vitesse

S S T T T

4–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 20/23 matches

Win Ø 43%

50%

35%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

65%

43%

Both score Ø 51%

50%

52%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

14 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 8. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	18	3	2	+65	57
2	PSV Eindhoven	23	17	1	5	+28	52
3	Feyenoord	23	16	3	4	+35	51
4	Twente	24	13	6	5	+8	45
5	AZ Alkmaar	21	13	2	6	+16	41
6	Utrecht	21	10	5	6	+11	35
7	Cambuur	24	10	3	11	-10	33
8	Vitesse	20	10	2	8	-10	32
9	Nijmegen	23	8	7	8	-4	31
10	Groningen	24	7	8	9	-5	29
11	Heracles	24	7	5	12	-6	26
12	Heerenveen	22	7	4	11	-11	25
13	Waalwijk	24	5	8	11	-13	23
14	Go Ahead Eagles	23	6	5	12	-16	23
15	Willem II	24	6	3	15	-22	21
16	For Sittard	23	5	4	14	-27	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	8	11	-18	17
18	Zwolle	24	4	5	15	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	1	2	+43	28
2	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	0	3	+15	27
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	2	1	+15	26
5	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
6	Heracles	13	7	3	3	+6	24
7	Twente	11	6	4	1	+9	22
8	Cambuur	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Groningen	12	3	6	3	+1	15
10	Willem II	12	4	1	7	-8	13
11	Waalwijk	12	4	1	7	-10	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	0	7	-5	12
13	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
16	Nijmegen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Zwolle	12	2	4	6	-5	10
18	Vitesse	9	3	1	5	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+15	23
4	Twente	13	7	2	4	-1	23
5	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
6	Nijmegen	12	6	3	3	+0	21
7	Cambuur	12	5	2	5	-7	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Heerenveen	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Groningen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Utrecht	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	2	5	5	-11	11
13	Waalwijk	12	1	7	4	-3	10
14	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	For Sittard	13	2	2	9	-17	8
16	Zwolle	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	11	0	2	9	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.