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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Panetolikos
T T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
28%
48%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
32%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25% Possession 75%
4 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 10
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 12. · Panathinaikos 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 23 18 5 0 +28 59
2 PAOK 23 15 2 6 +23 47
3 AEK 24 13 3 8 +14 42
4 Giannina 25 12 6 7 +12 42
5 Panathinaikos 25 12 3 10 +17 39
6 OFI Crete 26 8 12 6 +1 36
7 Aris Thessalonikis 22 10 5 7 +1 35
8 Aris 22 10 5 7 +1 35
9 Asteras Tripolis 23 9 5 9 +2 32
10 Volos NFC 24 9 4 11 -4 31
11 Ionikos 25 6 7 12 -11 25
12 Panetolikos 25 7 4 14 -20 25
13 Lamia 24 4 7 13 -13 19
14 Atromitos 23 4 5 14 -20 17
15 Apollon 24 1 9 14 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
Diamantis Chouchoumis 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Mijat Gaćinović
1–0 J. Mendoza
47′
62′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ M. Gaćinović
62′
🔁 S. Palacios
↦ Mateus Vital
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ N. Dago
69′
Frederico Duarte 🔁
↦ J. Morsay
69′
F. Antunes 🔁
↦ J. Mårtensson
80′
J. Díaz 🔁
↦ J. Mendoza
80′
83′
🔁 D. Kourbelis
↦ L. Villafáñez
84′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ F. Sánchez
88′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ Carlitos López
B. Lluy 🔁
↦ N. Vergos
91′
Alexandros Malis 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Fotis Ioannidis
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-4-2
91 G. Anestis G
16 J. Une-Larsson D
3 D. Houhoumis D
13 D. Cornelius D
47 A. Malis D
17 J. Mårtensson M
30 J. Mendoza M
20 D. Flores M
25 J. Morsay F
9 N. Vergos F
23 N. Dago
Bench (9)
7 N. Karelis
14 Frederico Duarte
4 F. Antunes
11 J. Díaz
8 B. Lluy
22 N. Melissas
5 B. Vrgoč
10 Hélder Barbosa
37 A. Tsigaras

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dioudis G
14 F. Sánchez D
4 Fran Vélez D
3 Juan Carlos D
31 Z. Šarlija D
19 L. Villafáñez M
17 Rubén Pérez M
50 M. Gaćinović M
98 Mateus Vital M
10 Carlitos López F
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
34 S. Palacios
21 D. Kourbelis
27 G. Kotsiras
11 T. Chatzigiovanis
91 A. Brignoli
24 G. Sideras
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
6 S. Alexandropoulos

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,20
U
3,28
B
1,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.