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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Zurich
S S S S U
4–2
Full-time
Basel
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 57%
68%
45%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
19 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 1. · Basel 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 22 15 5 2 +23 50
2 Young Boys 23 12 7 4 +26 43
3 Basel 22 10 10 2 +23 40
4 Lugano 23 11 3 9 -2 36
5 St. Gallen 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Servette 23 8 5 10 -7 29
7 Grasshoppers 23 6 9 8 +2 27
8 Sion 23 7 5 11 -12 26
9 Luzern 22 2 9 11 -19 15
10 Lausanne 22 2 6 14 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -21 Zurich – Basel 3–3 26. Sep -21 Basel – Zurich 3–1 15. May -21 Basel – Zurich 4–0 14. Feb -21 Zurich – Basel 2–0 23. Jan -21 Basel – Zurich 1–4

Match report

Zurich Basel
1–0 A. Marchesano ⚽
8′
2–0 B. Kramer ⚽
A. Tosin
16′
20′
🟨 Noah Katterbach
29′
🟨 Fabian Frei
38′
⚽ V. Stocker 2–1
N. Katterbach
Half-time 2–1
Fidan Aliti 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Michael Lang
A. Ćorić 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
70′
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ A. Tosin
70′
70′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ D. Ndoye
70′
🔁 M. Palacios
↦ D. Males
Ousmane Doumbia ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
3–1 W. Gnonto ⚽
78′
81′
🔁 S.Esposito
↦ V. Stocker
81′
🔁 P. Kasami
↦ F. Frei
K. Mets 🔁
↦ B. Džemaili
83′
Ante Ćorić 🟨
86′
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto 🟨
89′
91′
⚽ M. Lang 3–2
S.Esposito
M. Hornschuh 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
92′
4–2 N. Boranijašević ⚽
B. Kramer
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Zurich

3-1-4-2
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević M
6 F. Aliti D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
4 B. Omeragić D
21 B. Džemaili M
10 A. Marchesano M
20 O. Doumbia M
18 B. Kramer F
15 A. Tosin F
Bench (9)
24 A. Ćorić
22 W. Gnonto
28 K. Mets
16 M. Hornschuh
1 Ž. Kostadinović
23 F. Rohner
2 L. Kamberi
7 B. Krasniqi
26 S. Khelifi

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Basel

4-3-3
1 H. Lindner G
5 M. Lang D
21 A. Pelmard D
3 N. Katterbach D
15 S. Pavlović D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
19 D. Males M
11 Ádám Szalai F
17 L. Millar F
27 D. Ndoye F
Bench (9)
99 F. Chalov
35 M. Palacios
9 S.Esposito
7 P. Kasami
34 T. Xhaka
22 Sergio López
96 Joelson Fernandes
23 W. Burger
46 F. Gebhardt

Coach: Guillermo Abascal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.