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Super League

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Aris Thessalonikis

S T U U S

2–1

Full-time

AEK

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,2

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Super League · 19/21 matches

Win Ø 52%

47%

57%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

26%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

26%

57%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	21	16	5	0	+24	53
2	AEK	21	12	3	6	+13	39
3	PAOK	20	12	2	6	+19	38
4	Aris	20	10	5	5	+5	35
5	Panathinaikos	22	10	3	9	+13	33
6	Giannina	22	9	6	7	+7	33
7	Asteras Tripolis	21	9	5	7	+5	32
8	Aris Thessalonikis	19	9	5	5	+4	32
9	OFI Crete	23	7	10	6	+0	31
10	Volos NFC	21	7	4	10	-7	25
11	Ionikos	22	5	6	11	-9	21
12	Panetolikos	22	6	3	13	-20	21
13	Lamia	21	4	7	10	-8	19
14	Apollon	20	1	8	11	-23	11
15	Atromitos	19	2	4	13	-23	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	9	2	0	+13	29
2	Panathinaikos	12	8	2	2	+18	26
3	Asteras Tripolis	11	7	1	3	+7	22
4	PAOK	11	6	2	3	+9	20
5	AEK	10	6	0	4	+6	18
6	Aris	9	5	3	1	+3	18
7	Giannina	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Volos NFC	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	8	4	3	1	+2	15
10	Ionikos	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	OFI Crete	12	3	6	3	-2	15
12	Apollon	10	1	6	3	-5	9
13	Lamia	11	2	3	6	-6	9
14	Panetolikos	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Atromitos	9	2	1	6	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	7	3	0	+11	24
2	AEK	11	6	3	2	+7	21
3	PAOK	9	6	0	3	+10	18
4	Aris Thessalonikis	11	5	2	4	+2	17
5	Aris	11	5	2	4	+2	17
6	OFI Crete	11	4	4	3	+2	16
7	Giannina	11	4	3	4	+5	15
8	Panetolikos	12	4	1	7	-13	13
9	Asteras Tripolis	10	2	4	4	-2	10
10	Lamia	10	2	4	4	-2	10
11	Volos NFC	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Panathinaikos	10	2	1	7	-5	7
13	Ionikos	12	1	3	8	-10	6
14	Atromitos	10	0	3	7	-16	3
15	Apollon	10	0	2	8	-18	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.