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Super League
Referee: D Aytekin
Olympiakos
S S S U S
2–1
Full-time
PAOK
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · PAOK 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 7 5 1 1 +9 16
2 Aris Thessalonikis 7 4 2 1 +7 14
3 Aris 7 4 2 1 +7 14
4 Olympiakos 6 4 2 0 +7 14
5 PAOK 6 4 1 1 +5 13
6 Volos NFC 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Ionikos 8 3 2 3 -3 11
8 Panathinaikos 8 3 1 4 +7 10
9 Giannina 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 OFI Crete 8 1 6 1 -1 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Apollon 8 1 3 4 -9 6
13 Lamia 8 1 2 5 -4 5
14 Panetolikos 8 1 2 5 -11 5
15 Atromitos 8 0 2 6 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos PAOK
16′
🟨 Sidcley
1–0 A. Camara
O. Reabciuk
21′
2–0 G. Masouras
A. Camara
31′
44′
🟨 Diego Biseswar
Half-time 2–0
H. Onyekuru 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
46′
46′
🔁 O. El Kaddouri
↦ A. Esiti
Youssef El Arabi 🟨
52′
Mady Camara 🟨
57′
Tiquinho Soares 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
59′
59′
🔁 K. Świderski
↦ C. Akpom
60′
🔁 A. Mitriță
↦ Sidcley
60′
🔁 Vieirinha
↦ D. Biseswar
A. Bouchalakis 🔁
↦ M. Camara
70′
78′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ A. Mitriță
81′
T. Murg 2–1
P. Malong 🔁
↦ A. Camara
83′
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
83′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 T. Vaclík G
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
27 K. Lala D
66 P. Cissé D
45 O. Reabciuk D
6 Y. M'Vila M
19 G. Masouras M
4 M. Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
77 Garry Rodrigues M
22 A. Camara M
Bench (9)
7 H. Onyekuru
29 Tiquinho Soares
5 A. Bouchalakis
8 P. Malong
17 M. Vrousai
28 M. Valbuena
31 Ö. Kristinsson
14 T. Androutsos
34 A. Papadopoulos

Coach: Pedro Martins

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
16 Sidcley D
49 G. Michailidis D
21 D. Biseswar M
22 S. Schwab M
44 A. Esiti M
8 Douglas Augusto M
14 A. Živković F
47 C. Akpom F
Bench (9)
7 O. El Kaddouri
9 K. Świderski
28 A. Mitriță
20 Vieirinha
10 T. Murg
15 José Crespo
6 E. Mihaj
88 Ž. Živković
38 K. Giaxis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,64
B
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.