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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Nice
U T S S T
3–2
Full-time
Lyon
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 48%
56%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
22%
70%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nice 3. · Lyon 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 9 0 1 +14 27
2 Lens 10 5 3 2 +5 18
3 Nice 9 5 2 2 +12 17
4 Marseille 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Angers 11 4 5 2 +4 17
6 Nantes 11 5 2 4 +4 17
7 Lyon 10 4 4 2 +3 16
8 Rennes 10 4 3 3 +6 15
9 Lille 11 4 3 4 -2 15
10 Strasbourg 10 4 2 4 +3 14
11 Monaco 10 4 2 4 +1 14
12 Lorient 10 3 5 2 -2 14
13 Montpellier 10 3 4 3 +1 13
14 Clermont 11 3 4 4 -8 13
15 Reims 10 2 5 3 -1 11
16 Troyes 10 2 3 5 -5 9
17 Bordeaux 10 1 5 4 -9 8
18 Brest 11 0 6 5 -8 6
19 Metz 10 1 3 6 -11 6
20 St Etienne 11 0 5 6 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Lyon
35′
K. Toko Ekambi 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Y. Atal 🔁
↦ F. Daniliuc
67′
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ M. Lemina
67′
L. Da Cunha 🔁
↦ H. Boudaoui
67′
68′
H. Aouar 0–2
Lucas Paquetá
A. Claude Maurice 🔁
↦ A. Gouiri
77′
1–2 Y. Atal
K. Thuram-Ulien
80′
E. Guessand 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
83′
85′
🟥 Tino Kadewere
85′
ℹ️ Tino Kadewere
VAR: Card upgrade
88′
🔁 Thiago Mendes
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
2–2 A. Delort
89′
91′
🔁 S. Diomandé
↦ H. Aouar
3–2 E. Guessand
A. Claude Maurice
92′
Evann Guessand 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Nice

4-4-2
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
25 J. Todibo D
26 M. Bard D
5 F. Daniliuc D
18 M. Lemina M
19 K. Thuram-Ulien M
28 H. Boudaoui M
7 A. Delort F
9 K. Dolberg F
11 A. Gouiri M
Bench (9)
20 Y. Atal
8 P. Rosario
29 L. Da Cunha
10 A. Claude Maurice
24 E. Guessand
6 M. Schneiderlin
23 J. Lotomba
13 H. Kamara
1 M. Bulka

Coach: C. Galtier

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
27 J. Boateng D
3 Emerson D
14 L. Dubois D
5 J. Denayer D
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 H. Aouar M
10 Lucas Paquetá F
25 M. Caqueret M
7 K. Toko Ekambi M
11 T. Kadewere M
Bench (9)
23 Thiago Mendes
2 S. Diomandé
29 X. Shaqiri
12 Henrique
18 R. Cherki
21 D. Da Silva
30 J. Pollersbeck
19 H. Keita
17 M. Gusto

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,50
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,28
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.