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Super League
Referee: M Fabbri
PAOK
T S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,3
3,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 72%
56%
88%
Points per game
1,9
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,6
2,8
Conceded
0,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 4. · Olympiakos 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 16 14 2 0 +37 44
2 Aris Thessalonikis 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 Aris 15 10 3 2 +13 33
4 PAOK 16 9 4 3 +13 31
5 AEK 15 9 3 3 +9 30
6 Panathinaikos 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Asteras Tripolis 17 5 6 6 -5 21
8 Atromitos 16 4 7 5 -6 19
9 OFI Crete 17 5 4 8 -8 19
10 Volos NFC 18 4 7 7 -9 19
11 Giannina 18 3 8 7 -4 17
12 Apollon 16 4 3 9 -5 15
13 Panetolikos 17 2 5 10 -12 11
14 Lamia 15 2 2 11 -20 8
15 Larisa 16 1 5 10 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Jul -20 Olympiakos – PAOK 0–1 7. Jun -20 PAOK – Olympiakos 0–1 23. Feb -20 PAOK – Olympiakos 0–1 1. Dec -19 Olympiakos – PAOK 1–1

Match report

PAOK Olympiakos
Michael Krmenčík 🟨
20′
Alexandros Paschalakis 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Ingason ⚽
51′
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 L. Ranđelović
↦ M. Vrousai
68′
🟨 Rafinha
K. Świderski 🔁
↦ M. Krmenčík
69′
71′
🔁 Koka
↦ M. Valbuena
77′
⚽ O. Ba 1–1
K. Fortounis
82′
🔁 A. Bouchalakis
↦ K. Fortounis
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ T. Murg
83′
83′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ Y. El-Arabi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
15 José Crespo D
4 S. Ingason D
23 D. Giannoulis D
20 Vieirinha M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
22 S. Schwab M
10 T. Murg M
14 A. Živković F
8 Amr Warda F
27 M. Krmenčík F
Bench (9)
9 K. Świderski
11 C. Tzolis
88 Ž. Živković
32 N. Ninua
16 A. Pereira
5 Fernando Varela
97 L. Lamprou
51 T. Tsiggaras
2 Rodrigo Alves

Coach: P. García

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 José Sá G
13 Rafinha D
3 Rúben Semedo D
45 O. Reabciuk D
24 O. Ba D
28 M. Valbuena M
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 K. Fortounis M
4 Mohamed Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
17 M. Vrousai M
Bench (9)
97 L. Ranđelović
9 Koka
5 A. Bouchalakis
19 G. Masouras
66 P. Cissé
21 M. Dräger
8 Tiago Silva
31 Ö. Kristinsson
10 Pêpê Rodrigues

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
🔒
U ✓
2,92
🔒
B
2,39
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,34
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.