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Championship

Referee: J Linington

Nott'm Forest

U S S S S

0–4

Full-time

Fulham

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Championship · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 48%

33%

62%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

62%

Both score Ø 72%

75%

69%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

8 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 20. · Fulham 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	15	10	5	0	+16	35
2	West Brom	15	9	4	2	+15	31
3	Coventry	15	8	3	4	+6	27
4	Fulham	13	8	2	3	+15	26
5	Middlesbrough	15	7	3	5	+6	24
6	Luton	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Reading	15	7	1	7	-2	22
8	Sheffield United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
9	QPR	15	6	3	6	+2	21
10	Stoke	14	6	3	5	+1	21
11	Millwall	14	5	6	3	+0	21
12	Blackpool	14	6	3	5	-1	21
13	Blackburn	14	5	5	4	+6	20
14	Huddersfield	12	6	2	4	+3	20
15	Bristol City	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Preston	15	4	6	5	-3	18
17	Swansea	14	4	5	5	-2	17
18	Derby	15	3	8	4	-2	17
19	Birmingham	15	4	4	7	-8	16
20	Nott'm Forest	12	4	2	6	+0	14
21	Peterboro	14	4	2	8	-11	14
22	Peterborough	14	4	2	8	-11	14
23	Cardiff	15	3	3	9	-14	12
24	Hull	15	2	3	10	-12	9
25	Barnsley	14	1	5	8	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	West Brom	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Bournemouth	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Fulham	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Middlesbrough	8	5	1	2	+7	16
6	Reading	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Stoke	7	5	1	1	+5	16
8	Preston	8	4	3	1	+2	15
9	Blackburn	7	4	2	1	+8	14
10	Luton	7	4	2	1	+7	14
11	QPR	7	4	2	1	+5	14
12	Sheffield United	8	4	1	3	+7	13
13	Huddersfield	6	4	1	1	+4	13
14	Swansea	7	3	3	1	+3	12
15	Blackpool	7	4	0	3	-1	12
16	Peterboro	7	3	2	2	+3	11
17	Peterborough	7	3	2	2	+3	11
18	Derby	7	2	5	0	+2	11
19	Millwall	7	3	2	2	+0	11
20	Birmingham	7	2	2	3	-5	8
21	Barnsley	7	1	2	4	-4	5
22	Hull	8	1	2	5	-6	5
23	Nott'm Forest	6	1	1	4	-4	4
24	Bristol City	7	0	4	3	-4	4
25	Cardiff	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	8	5	3	0	+7	18
2	Bristol City	8	5	0	3	+0	15
3	West Brom	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Fulham	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Nott'm Forest	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Millwall	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Luton	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Blackpool	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Middlesbrough	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Birmingham	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Sheffield United	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Cardiff	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Huddersfield	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	QPR	8	2	1	5	-3	7
15	Blackburn	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Derby	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Reading	7	2	0	5	-7	6
18	Stoke	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Swansea	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Coventry	7	1	2	4	-8	5
21	Hull	7	1	1	5	-6	4
22	Preston	7	0	3	4	-5	3
23	Barnsley	7	0	3	4	-7	3
24	Peterboro	7	1	0	6	-14	3
25	Peterborough	7	1	0	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.