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Super League
Referee: E Manouhos
Olympiakos
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
PAOK
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 37/36 matches
Win Ø 70%
81%
58%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
51%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 37 30 7 0 +61 97
2 AEK 38 22 10 6 +34 76
3 PAOK 36 21 9 6 +28 72
4 Panathinaikos 37 14 14 9 +7 56
5 Atromitos 34 12 9 13 -1 45
6 Asteras Tripolis 34 11 10 13 +1 43
7 Aris Thessalonikis 34 10 11 13 -2 41
8 Aris 34 10 11 13 -2 41
9 OFI Crete 38 11 7 20 -11 40
10 Larisa 34 9 12 13 -9 39
11 Lamia 34 6 18 10 -13 36
12 Xanthi 34 9 8 17 -15 35
13 Volos NFC 34 9 7 18 -29 34
14 Panetolikos 34 6 11 17 -19 29
15 Panionios 34 7 8 19 -30 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos PAOK
33′
🟨 D. Giannoulis
O. Elabdellaoui 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Mihaj
↦ S. Ingason
47′
🟨 O. El Kaddouri
A. Bouchalakis 🟨
50′
52′
🟨 D. Biseswar
59′
🔁 K. Świderski
↦ C. Akpom
Bruno Souza 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
62′
K. Fortounis 🔁
↦ Guilherme
62′
P. Cisse 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 M. Stoch
↦ D. Biseswar
Koka 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
77′
79′
🔁 A. Esiti
↦ O. El Kaddouri
79′
🔁 D. Limnios
↦ C. Tzolis
85′
🟨 E. Mihaj
L. Ranđelović 🔁
↦ M. Valbuena
86′
90′
E. Mihaj 0–1
Rodrigo Alves
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-3-3
1 José Sá G
14 O. Elabdellaoui D
3 Rúben Semedo D
21 K. Tsimikas D
66 P. Cissé D
28 M. Valbuena M
8 Guilherme M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
19 G. Masouras M
4 M. Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
Bench (9)
18 Bruno Souza
7 K. Fortounis
99 Koka
97 L. Ranđelović
34 A. Papadopoulos
16 B. Allain
35 V. Torosidis
22 M. Lovera
26 Cafú

Coach: Pedro Martins

PAOK

3-4-1-2
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
4 S. Ingason D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
23 D. Giannoulis D
49 I. Michailidis D
21 D. Biseswar M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
8 Maurício M
47 C. Akpom F
68 C. Tzolis -
Bench (9)
6 E. Mihaj
9 K. Świderski
99 M. Stoch
24 A. Esiti
18 D. Limnios
20 Vieirinha
3 Léo Matos
51 T. Tsiggaras
88 Ž. Živković

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,54
U
4,10
B ✓
5,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Manouhos · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.