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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Sevilla
U S S T S
5–3
Full-time
Levante
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 32%
63%
0%
Points per game
2,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
25%
22%
Both score Ø 35%
25%
44%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Levante 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 9 6 2 1 +5 20
2 Osasuna 10 5 3 2 +1 18
3 Real Madrid 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Sevilla 8 5 2 1 +8 17
5 Ath Madrid 8 5 2 1 +5 17
6 Vallecano 9 5 1 3 +6 16
7 Ath Bilbao 9 4 4 1 +4 16
8 Barcelona 8 4 3 1 +6 15
9 Betis 9 4 3 2 +3 15
10 Valencia 10 3 4 3 +2 13
11 Espanol 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Mallorca 10 3 3 4 -6 12
13 Villarreal 9 2 5 2 +3 11
14 Elche 10 2 4 4 -4 10
15 Celta 9 2 1 6 -5 7
16 Granada 9 1 4 4 -6 7
17 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 -8 7
18 Alaves 9 2 0 7 -9 6
19 Levante 9 0 5 4 -7 5
20 Getafe 9 0 2 7 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Levante
1–0 Óliver Torres
L. Augustinsson
8′
22′
🔁 Rober
↦ S. Mustafi
2–0 Rafa Mir
T. Delaney
24′
33′
Morales 2–1
Pablo Martínez
3–1 Diego Carlos
Suso
38′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ N. Radoja
46′
🔁 M. Malsa
↦ Pablo Martínez
4–1 Munir
Óliver Torres
50′
55′
Morales 4–2
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ T. Delaney
56′
56′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Soldado
61′
Melero 4–3
Jorge de Frutos
5–3 Fernando
Navas
64′
66′
🟨 Mickaël Malsa
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ Suso
69′
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ Munir
69′
70′
🟨 Carlos Clerc
73′
🔁 Enric Franquesa
↦ Clerc
Fernando 🟨
78′
M. Acuña 🔁
↦ L. Augustinsson
78′
Óscar Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
78′
80′
ℹ️ Jorge de Frutos
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
16 Navas D
3 L. Augustinsson D
20 Diego Carlos D
23 J. Koundé D
25 Fernando M
18 T. Delaney M
7 Suso M
21 Óliver Torres M
11 Munir M
12 Rafa Mir F
Bench (12)
8 Joan Jordán
17 E. Lamela
5 L. Ocampos
19 M. Acuña
14 Óscar Rodríguez
2 G. Montiel
31 Javi Díaz
13 Y. Bounou
6 N. Gudelj
15 Y. En-Nesyri
10 I. Rakitić
22 O. Idrissi

Coach: Lopetegui

Levante

4-4-2
1 Aitor Fernández G
13 S. Mustafi D
20 Miramón D
19 Clerc D
14 Rúben Vezo D
5 N. Radoja M
11 Morales F
22 Melero M
25 Pablo Martínez M
16 Soldado F
18 Jorge de Frutos M
Bench (12)
4 Rober
10 E. Bardhi
12 M. Malsa
21 Dani Gómez
3 Enric Franquesa
23 Coke
8 Pepelu
6 Ó. Duarte
34 Dani Cárdenas
29 Cantero
2 Son
17 N. Vukčević

Coach: Javier Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
4,43
B
7,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.