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Eredivisie

Referee: K Blom

Twente

S S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Nijmegen

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

78%

33%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 7. · Nijmegen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+30	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Utrecht	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+2	18
5	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+11	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	-6	16
7	Twente	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Cambuur	9	4	0	5	-6	12
10	Nijmegen	9	3	2	4	-6	11
11	Waalwijk	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Heracles	9	3	1	5	-4	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	1	5	-7	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	0	4	+4	9
15	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-8	9
16	Groningen	9	1	4	4	-7	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Zwolle	10	1	1	8	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Cambuur	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Twente	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Waalwijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-2	6
15	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	-1	12
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
9	Feyenoord	4	2	0	2	+5	6
10	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
14	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	1	4	-8	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
18	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.