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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Betis
U S S T S
3–2
Full-time
Vallecano
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 9. · Vallecano 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 9 6 2 1 +13 20
2 Sevilla 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Sociedad 9 6 2 1 +5 20
4 Osasuna 10 5 3 2 +1 18
5 Ath Madrid 8 5 2 1 +5 17
6 Vallecano 9 5 1 3 +6 16
7 Ath Bilbao 9 4 4 1 +4 16
8 Barcelona 9 4 3 2 +5 15
9 Betis 9 4 3 2 +3 15
10 Valencia 10 3 4 3 +2 13
11 Espanol 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Mallorca 10 3 3 4 -6 12
13 Villarreal 9 2 5 2 +3 11
14 Elche 10 2 4 4 -4 10
15 Celta 9 2 1 6 -5 7
16 Granada 9 1 4 4 -6 7
17 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 -8 7
18 Alaves 9 2 0 7 -9 6
19 Levante 10 0 5 5 -9 5
20 Getafe 9 0 2 7 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Vallecano
1–0 Álex Moreno
Rodri
22′
2–0 Juanmi
Sergio Canales
24′
31′
🟨 Álvaro García
Edgar Gonzalez 🟨
32′
Half-time 2–1
46′
R. Nteka 2–1
Ó. Trejo
46′
🔁 Santi Comesaña
↦ P. Ciss
46′
🔁 Isi Palazón
↦ Mario Hernández
61′
🟨 Óscar Trejo
65′
Álvaro García 2–2
Ó. Trejo
D. Lainez 🔁
↦ Juanmi
70′
A. Guardado 🔁
↦ Rodri
70′
71′
🔁 R. Falcao
↦ Ó. Trejo
3–2 Willian José
75′
William Carvalho 🔁
↦ Sergio Canales
80′
80′
🔁 Bebé
↦ R. Nteka
Borja Iglesias 🔁
↦ Willian José
88′
88′
🔁 José Ángel Pozo
↦ N. Maraš
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 C. Bravo G
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
19 Bellerín D
3 Edgar González D
10 Sergio Canales M
21 G. Rodríguez M
28 Rodri M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi M
8 N. Fekir M
Bench (12)
20 D. Lainez
18 A. Guardado
14 William Carvalho
9 Borja Iglesias
33 Juan Miranda
24 Aitor Ruibal
13 Rui Silva
2 Martín Montoya
16 G. Pezzella
6 Víctor Ruíz
17 Joaquín
11 Tello

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu M
2 N. Maraš D
33 Fran García D
5 Catena D
32 Mario Hernández D
12 Unai López M
18 Álvaro García M
21 P. Ciss M
9 R. Nteka F
8 Ó. Trejo M
Bench (12)
6 Santi Comesaña
7 Isi Palazón
3 R. Falcao
10 Bebé
22 José Ángel Pozo
23 Óscar Valentín
19 Kévin Rodrigues
1 L. Zidane
4 Mario Suárez
24 E. Saveljich
11 Andrés Martín
16 Sergi Guardiola

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
U
3,77
B
4,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.