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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Inter
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Juventus
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
63%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 76%
88%
63%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
2,9
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 3. · Juventus 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 9 8 1 0 +16 25
2 Milan 9 8 1 0 +13 25
3 Inter 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Roma 9 5 1 3 +7 16
5 Atalanta 9 4 3 2 +4 15
6 Fiorentina 9 5 0 4 +1 15
7 Lazio 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Juventus 8 4 2 2 +2 14
9 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -4 12
10 Empoli 9 4 0 5 -4 12
11 Verona 9 3 2 4 +3 11
12 Torino 9 3 2 4 +2 11
13 Sassuolo 9 3 2 4 +0 11
14 Udinese 9 2 4 3 -2 10
15 Sampdoria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
16 Venezia 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Spezia 9 2 1 6 -11 7
18 Genoa 9 1 3 5 -7 6
19 Cagliari 9 1 3 5 -9 6
20 Salernitana 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Juventus
1–0 E. Džeko
17′
18′
🔁 R. Bentancur
↦ F. Bernardeschi
Nicolò Barella 🟨
40′
44′
🟨 Alex Sandro
Half-time 1–0
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
61′
65′
🔁 P. Dybala
↦ J. Cuadrado
65′
🔁 F. Chiesa
↦ D. Kulusevski
Ivan Perišić 🟨
70′
D. Dumfries 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
72′
A. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Lautaro Martínez
72′
83′
🔁 Kaio Jorge
↦ M. Locatelli
83′
🔁 Arthur
↦ W. McKennie
87′
ℹ️ Alex Sandro
VAR: Penalty awarded
89′
P. Dybala 1–1
M. Vecino 🔁
↦ N. Barella
90′
95′
🟨 Giorgio Chiellini
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
36 M. Darmian M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
77 M. Brozović M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
23 N. Barella M
9 E. Džeko F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (12)
5 R. Gagliardini
2 D. Dumfries
7 A. Sánchez
8 M. Vecino
32 F. Dimarco
21 A. Cordaz
97 I. Radu
48 M. Satriano
12 S. Sensi
11 A. Kolarov
33 D. D'Ambrosio
13 A. Ranocchia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Juventus

4-4-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
19 L. Bonucci D
3 G. Chiellini D
6 Danilo D
12 Alex Sandro D
11 J. Cuadrado M
27 M. Locatelli M
14 W. McKennie M
44 D. Kulusevski F
9 Álvaro Morata F
20 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (12)
30 R. Bentancur
10 P. Dybala
22 F. Chiesa
21 Kaio Jorge
5 Arthur
8 A. Ramsey
2 M. De Sciglio
24 D. Rugani
36 M. Perin
23 C. Pinsoglio
4 M. de Ligt
17 L. Pellegrini

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U ✓
3,60
B
3,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.