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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Fenerbahce
T S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 62%
67%
56%
Points per game
2,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
44%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Alanyaspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 10 7 3 0 +11 24
2 Hatayspor 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Fenerbahce 9 6 1 2 +4 19
4 Karagumruk 10 5 3 2 +4 18
5 Besiktas 9 5 2 2 +7 17
6 Konyaspor 10 4 5 1 +5 17
7 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +2 17
8 Alanyaspor 9 5 2 2 +0 17
9 Altay 10 5 0 5 +0 15
10 Ad. Demirspor 10 3 4 3 +0 13
11 Buyuksehyr 10 4 0 6 +0 12
12 Gaziantep 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 10 4 0 6 -6 12
14 Sivasspor 10 2 5 3 +2 11
15 Kayserispor 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -4 9
17 Antalyaspor 10 2 3 5 -5 9
18 Goztep 10 2 2 6 -5 8
19 Kasimpasa 10 1 3 6 -6 6
20 Rizespor 10 1 1 8 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Alanyaspor
Miha Zajc 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
70′
🟨 João Novais
E. Valencia 🔁
↦ D. Rossi
71′
J. Sosa 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
71′
Miguel Crespo 🔁
↦ N. Sangaré
72′
74′
🔁 E. Bekiroglu
↦ João Novais
75′
E. Akbaba 0–1
E. Karaca
M. Özil 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
80′
1–1 S. Dursun
F. Novák
80′
81′
🔁 Candeias
↦ E. Karaca
Filip Novák 🟨
85′
90′
🔁 L. Fer
↦ E. Akbaba
91′
🔁 O. Aydın
↦ Davidson
93′
E. Bekiroglu 1–2
N. Milunović
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

3-4-2-1
35 B. Özer G
37 F. Novák D
32 M. Tisserand D
30 N. Sangaré M
41 Attila Szalai D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
26 M. Zajc M
14 D. Pelkas F
16 F. Kadıoğlu M
19 S. Dursun F
9 D. Rossi F
Bench (10)
13 E. Valencia
5 J. Sosa
27 Miguel Crespo
10 M. Özil
17 İ. Kahveci
54 E. Çetin
11 M. Berisha
8 M. Yandaş
23 M. Gümüşkaya
6 M. Meyer

Coach: Vítor Pereira

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kırıntılı G
19 N. Milunović D
24 Juanfran D
31 C. Borja D
20 F. Aksoy D
7 E. Karaca M
18 João Novais M
23 E. Akbaba M
6 U. Güneş M
14 F. Diédhiou F
91 Davidson M
Bench (10)
11 E. Bekiroglu
21 Candeias
4 L. Fer
70 O. Aydın
30 Y. Karagöz
5 B. Bulut
28 Marafona
8 A. Ildız
35 F. Bayır
75 T. Bingöl

Coach: B. Korkmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,55
B ✓
4,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.