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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
Olympiakos
S S U U U
1–0
Full-time
PAOK
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Super League · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 64%
74%
53%
Points per game
2,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
4 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · PAOK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 38 28 8 2 +61 92
2 PAOK 38 20 11 7 +30 71
3 AEK 37 19 7 11 +9 64
4 Aris 35 17 9 9 +15 60
5 Aris Thessalonikis 34 17 8 9 +15 59
6 Panathinaikos 38 15 11 12 +9 56
7 Asteras Tripolis 38 12 15 11 -5 51
8 Volos NFC 34 10 13 11 -5 43
9 Giannina 33 9 10 14 -5 37
10 Atromitos 34 7 14 13 -14 35
11 Lamia 34 8 11 15 -22 35
12 Apollon 33 8 7 18 -14 31
13 OFI Crete 34 8 7 19 -21 31
14 Panetolikos 34 6 10 18 -25 28
15 Larisa 34 5 9 20 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos PAOK
7′
🟨 Amr Warda
Mohamed Camara 🔁
↦ S. Papastathopoulos
8′
1–0 G. Masouras
Y. El-Arabi
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Mihaj
↦ E. Lyratzis
60′
🔁 K. Świderski
↦ M. Krmenčík
60′
🔁 A. Živković
↦ Amr Warda
M. Valbuena 🔁
↦ Bruma
67′
K. Fortounis 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
67′
76′
🔁 José Crespo
↦ I. Michailidis
76′
🔁 I. Konstantelias
↦ C. Tzolis
Koka 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
77′
Mathieu Valbuena 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

3-4-3
1 José Sá G
25 J. Holebas D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
3 Rúben Semedo D
45 O. Reabciuk D
6 Y. M'Vila M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
19 G. Masouras M
14 T. Androutsos D
11 Y. El-Arabi F
27 Bruma M
Bench (9)
4 Mohamed Camara
28 M. Valbuena
7 K. Fortounis
9 Koka
21 M. Dräger
8 Tiago Silva
97 L. Ranđelović
88 K. Tzolakis
61 A. Kalogeropoulos

Coach: Pedro Martins

PAOK

3-4-3
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
21 A. Baba D
49 I. Michailidis D
19 E. Lyratzis D
33 Douglas M
8 Amr Warda F
51 T. Tsiggaras M
27 M. Krmenčík F
11 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
6 E. Mihaj
9 K. Świderski
14 A. Živković
15 José Crespo
65 I. Konstantelias
32 N. Ninua
88 Ž. Živković
46 K. Giaxis
16 A. Pereira

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,22
B
4,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.