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Serie B

Reggina

S U U T S

2–1

Full-time

Parma

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggina Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

25%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reggina 10. · Parma 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Brescia	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Benevento	9	4	4	1	+8	16
4	Lecce	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	Cremonese	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Frosinone	9	3	5	1	+4	14
7	Perugia	9	3	5	1	+4	14
8	Ascoli	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Ternana	9	4	1	4	+2	13
10	Reggina	8	3	4	1	+1	13
11	Monza	9	3	4	2	+0	13
12	Cittadella	9	4	1	4	-2	13
13	Cosenza	9	3	2	4	-5	11
14	Parma	8	2	4	2	+2	10
15	Spal	8	2	3	3	+3	9
16	Como	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Crotone	9	1	4	4	-6	7
18	Alessandria	9	2	1	6	-8	7
19	Vicenza	9	1	0	8	-12	3
20	Pordenone	9	0	2	7	-17	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Benevento	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Cremonese	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Monza	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Cosenza	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Cittadella	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Ternana	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Spal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
9	Lecce	4	2	2	0	+4	8
10	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
11	Brescia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Frosinone	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Crotone	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Alessandria	4	2	0	2	-2	6
15	Perugia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Parma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Como	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Ascoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
19	Pordenone	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Vicenza	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Perugia	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Lecce	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Parma	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Benevento	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Como	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Reggina	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Ternana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Monza	5	0	3	2	-4	3
14	Cittadella	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Vicenza	5	1	0	4	-6	3
16	Spal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Alessandria	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Pordenone	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Cosenza	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.