← Match Finder
Süper Lig
Referee: B Şimşek
Sivasspor
U S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Sivasspor Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 11
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sivasspor 14. · Ad. Demirspor 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 10 7 3 0 +11 24
2 Hatayspor 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Fenerbahce 9 6 1 2 +4 19
4 Karagumruk 10 5 3 2 +4 18
5 Besiktas 9 5 2 2 +7 17
6 Konyaspor 10 4 5 1 +5 17
7 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +2 17
8 Alanyaspor 9 5 2 2 +0 17
9 Altay 10 5 0 5 +0 15
10 Ad. Demirspor 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Gaziantep 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 10 4 0 6 -6 12
13 Kayserispor 10 3 2 5 -4 11
14 Sivasspor 9 2 4 3 +2 10
15 Buyuksehyr 9 3 0 6 -1 9
16 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -4 9
17 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -4 9
18 Goztep 10 2 2 6 -5 8
19 Kasimpasa 10 1 3 6 -6 6
20 Rizespor 10 1 1 8 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sivasspor Ad. Demirspor
1–0 M. Gradel ⚽
E. Yeşilyurt
7′
Half-time 1–0
Pedro Henrique 🟨
51′
57′
🔁 D. Akintola
↦ B. Stambouli
57′
🔁 Y. Belhanda
↦ Y. Akgün
60′
🔁 T. Çamdal
↦ J. Svensson
Pedro Henrique 🟨
67′
Pedro Henrique 🟥
67′
69′
🔁 G. İnler
↦ S. Kurt
69′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ B. Bjarnason
Mustapha Yatabare 🟨
74′
L. James 🔁
↦ M. Yatabaré
75′
S. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ O. Kayode
75′
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Britt Assombalonga
84′
🟥 Babajide David Akintola
Max Gradel 🟨
91′
A. Oğuz 🔁
↦ M. Gradel
91′
95′
ℹ️ Britt Assombalonga
VAR: Penalty awarded
Ahmet Oğuz 🟨
97′
97′
⚽ M. Balotelli 1–1
98′
🟨 Mario Balotelli
S. Camara 🔁
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
100′
F. Ulvestad 🔁
↦ I. Cofie
100′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sivasspor

4-2-3-1
35 A. Vural G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
3 U. Çiftçi D
6 D. Goutas D
7 M. Gradel M
37 H. Arslan M
16 Pedro Henrique M
5 I. Cofie M
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
9 M. Yatabaré F
8 O. Kayode M
Bench (10)
90 L. James
10 S. Yılmaz
14 S. Camara
77 A. Oğuz
23 F. Ulvestad
20 K. Kesgin
62 Ö. Yiğiter
25 M. Yıldırım
58 Z. Erdal
24 A. Okechukwu

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
35 F. Kaplan G
22 J. Svensson D
91 S. Deli D
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
67 B. Bjarnason M
90 B. Stambouli M
8 S. Kurt M
77 M. Vargas M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
11 D. Akintola
10 Y. Belhanda
20 T. Çamdal
88 G. İnler
7 B. Assombalonga
6 K. Kanak
2 T. Sanuç
17 M. Mimaroğlu
19 L. Castro
49 A. Murić

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U ✓
3,52
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

B Şimşek · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.