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Super League
Referee: P Valeri
PAOK
T T T S S
2–0
Full-time
AEK
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 7. · AEK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Volos NFC 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 AEK 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Giannina 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Ionikos 4 2 1 1 -1 7
6 Panathinaikos 5 2 0 3 +5 6
7 PAOK 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Panetolikos 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 OFI Crete 4 0 4 0 +0 4
10 Aris Thessalonikis 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Aris 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Asteras Tripolis 4 0 2 2 -3 2
13 Lamia 4 0 1 3 -3 1
14 Atromitos 3 0 1 2 -4 1
15 Apollon 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK AEK
Sidcley 🟨
39′
1–0 D. Biseswar
J. Kurtič
42′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 Y. Shakhov
↦ D. Szymański
60′
🔁 K. Ansarifard
↦ D. Jevtić
64′
🟨 Karim Ansarifard
Andrija Živković 🟨
71′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ A. Živković
74′
A. Esiti 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
75′
75′
🔁 M. Mohammadi
↦ E. Hajsafi
2–0 J. Kurtič
79′
80′
🟨 Damien Le Tallec
Karol Świderski 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 André Simões
↦ D. Le Tallec
86′
🔁 M. Tankovic
↦ L. Garcia
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
90′
A. Mitriță 🔁
↦ T. Murg
90′
L. Lyratzis 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
94′
Anderson Esiti 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
16 Sidcley D
13 Lucas Taylor D
49 G. Michailidis D
6 E. Mihaj D
21 D. Biseswar M
22 S. Schwab M
27 J. Kurtič M
8 Douglas Augusto M
14 A. Živković F
9 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
10 T. Murg
44 A. Esiti
19 L. Lyratzis
47 C. Akpom
28 A. Mitriță
5 Fernando Varela
88 Ž. Živković
70 G. Koutsias
51 C. Tsingaras

Coach: R. Lucescu

AEK

4-2-3-1
23 C. Stanković G
31 G. Tzavellas D
21 O. Vranješ D
19 C. Michelin M
26 E. Hajsafi D
6 D. Le Tallec M
17 S. Zuber M
88 D. Jevtić M
4 D. Szymański M
11 S. Araújo F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
28 Y. Shakhov
10 K. Ansarifard
3 M. Mohammadi
8 André Simões
22 M. Tankovic
40 M. Mitaj
1 P. Tsintotas
5 E. Svarnas
2 M. Bakakis

Coach: V. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,22
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.