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Super League
Referee: F Brych
Olympiakos
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
PAOK
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 69%
84%
53%
Points per game
2,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · PAOK 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 19 16 3 0 +39 51
2 AEK 20 12 4 4 +10 40
3 Aris Thessalonikis 19 12 3 4 +13 39
4 Aris 19 12 3 4 +13 39
5 Panathinaikos 21 11 4 6 +10 37
6 PAOK 19 10 6 3 +16 36
7 Asteras Tripolis 20 8 6 6 -1 30
8 Volos NFC 21 5 8 8 -10 23
9 Atromitos 19 5 7 7 -7 22
10 Giannina 21 4 8 9 -4 20
11 OFI Crete 20 5 4 11 -14 19
12 Apollon 20 5 3 12 -7 18
13 Lamia 19 3 4 12 -20 13
14 Panetolikos 19 2 6 11 -14 12
15 Larisa 20 1 5 14 -24 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Jan -21 PAOK – Olympiakos 1–1 12. Jul -20 Olympiakos – PAOK 0–1 7. Jun -20 PAOK – Olympiakos 0–1 23. Feb -20 PAOK – Olympiakos 0–1 1. Dec -19 Olympiakos – PAOK 1–1

Match report

Olympiakos PAOK
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Y. El-Arabi ⚽
A. Bouchalakis
50′
71′
🔁 K. Świderski
↦ M. Krmenčík
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
73′
2–0 Mohamed Camara ⚽
Y. El-Arabi
77′
78′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ Douglas
78′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ A. Živković
Pêpê Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Mohamed Camara
88′
88′
🔁 L. Lamprou
↦ C. Tzolis
3–0 M. Vrousai ⚽
89′
Koka 🔁
↦ Bruma
90′
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-3-3
1 José Sá G
13 Rafinha D
3 Rúben Semedo D
45 O. Reabciuk D
24 O. Ba D
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 K. Fortounis M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
4 Mohamed Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
27 Bruma M
Bench (9)
17 M. Vrousai
10 Pêpê Rodrigues
9 Koka
19 G. Masouras
14 T. Androutsos
66 P. Cissé
25 J. Holebas
8 Tiago Silva
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: Pedro Martins

PAOK

4-2-3-1
88 Ž. Živković G
5 Fernando Varela D
4 S. Ingason D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
20 Vieirinha M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
14 A. Živković F
33 Douglas M
8 Amr Warda F
27 M. Krmenčík F
11 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
9 K. Świderski
22 S. Schwab
10 T. Murg
97 L. Lamprou
16 A. Pereira
51 T. Tsiggaras
32 N. Ninua
31 A. Paschalakis
49 I. Michailidis

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
🔒
U
3,58
🔒
B
3,98
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,85
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.