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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
FC Koln
U U U S T
2–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 76%
88%
63%
Average goals
3,4
4,1
Scored
1,6
2,6
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 9. · Leverkusen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 9 7 1 1 +25 22
2 Dortmund 9 7 0 2 +10 21
3 Freiburg 9 5 4 0 +8 19
4 Leverkusen 8 5 1 2 +9 16
5 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +3 15
6 RB Leipzig 9 4 2 3 +11 14
7 Mainz 9 4 1 4 +3 13
8 Wolfsburg 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 FC Koln 8 3 3 2 -1 12
10 Hertha 9 4 0 5 -10 12
11 Hoffenheim 9 3 2 4 +2 11
12 M'gladbach 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Stuttgart 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Ein Frankfurt 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Bochum 8 2 1 5 -11 7
16 Augsburg 9 1 3 5 -13 6
17 Bielefeld 9 0 5 4 -9 5
18 Greuther Furth 9 0 1 8 -18 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Leverkusen
15′
P. Schick 0–1
M. Diaby
17′
K. Bellarabi 0–2
Mark Uth 🟨
36′
36′
🔁 A. Adli
↦ K. Bellarabi
43′
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 M. Bakker
↦ P. Hincapié
1–2 A. Modeste
J. Hector
63′
65′
🟨 Moussa Diaby
S. Andersson 🔁
↦ O. Duda
77′
77′
🔁 E. Tapsoba
↦ M. Diaby
77′
🔁 E. Palacios
↦ F. Wirtz
K. Schindler 🔁
↦ B. Schmitz
79′
J. Thielmann 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
79′
2–2 A. Modeste
S. Andersson
82′
86′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ P. Schick
89′
🟨 Robert Andrich
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ M. Uth
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-1-2
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
2 B. Schmitz D
15 L. Kilian D
11 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
18 O. Duda M
6 S. Özcan M
7 D. Ljubičić M
27 A. Modeste F
13 M. Uth F
Bench (9)
9 S. Andersson
17 K. Schindler
29 J. Thielmann
21 L. Schaub
31 T. Ostrák
4 T. Hübers
20 M. Schwäbe
22 Jorge Meré
19 K. Ehizibue

Coach: S. Baumgart

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
30 J. Frimpong D
6 O. Kossounou D
33 P. Hincapié D
10 K. Demirbay M
8 R. Andrich M
38 K. Bellarabi M
14 P. Schick F
19 M. Diaby M
27 F. Wirtz M
Bench (9)
31 A. Adli
5 M. Bakker
12 E. Tapsoba
25 E. Palacios
13 L. Alario
7 Paulinho
40 A. Lunev
11 N. Amiri
3 P. Retsos

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
U ✓
3,89
B
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.